MortalityGaps (Q149472)
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The Double-Gap Life Expectancy Forecasting Model
| Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
|---|---|---|---|
| default for all languages | No label defined |
||
| English | MortalityGaps |
The Double-Gap Life Expectancy Forecasting Model |
Statements
2 April 2025
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Life expectancy is highly correlated over time among countries and between males and females. These associations can be used to improve forecasts. Here we have implemented a method for forecasting female life expectancy based on analysis of the gap between female life expectancy in a country compared with the record level of female life expectancy in the world. Second, to forecast male life expectancy, the gap between male life expectancy and female life expectancy in a country is analysed. We named this method the Double-Gap model. For a detailed description of the method see Pascariu et al. (2018). <doi:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.09.011>.
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