EDE (Q7370168)

Estimates the historic date of extinction of a species from a time-ordered record of sighting events. Given a table of sighting counts per year, computes extinction date estimators from the sighting-record literature: optimal linear estimation and its Weibull extreme-value persistence test (Roberts & Solow, 2003; Solow, 2005), constant-rate and declining-rate persistence tests (Solow, 1993), a sighting-rate persistence test comparable across records with different observation periods (McInerny, Roberts, Davy & Cribb, 2006), a classical confidence interval on the end of a temporal range (Strauss & Sadler, 1989), a truncation-point extrapolation (Robson & Whitlock, 1964), and a combinatorial persistence test based on inclusion-exclusion over sighting-gap occupancy (Burgman, Grimson & Ferson, 1995). Also implements a nonparametric endpoint test (Solow & Roberts, 2003), a sighting-interval trend index (Jarić & Ebenhard, 2010), and reliability-adjusted inference for uncertain records (Jarić & Roberts, 2014). Every estimator is built on a validated input object and returns a common result class with, where defined, a point estimate, a confidence interval, or a full p-value curve.