Iterations of quadratic polynomials over finite fields

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Abstract: Given a map f:Z-->Z and an initial argument alpha, we can iterate the map to get a finite set of iterates modulo a prime p. In particular, for a quadratic map f(z)=z^2 +c, c constant, work by Pollard suggests that this set should have length on the order of p^(1/2). We give a heuristic argument that suggests that the statistical properties of this set might be very similar to the Birthday Problem random variable X_n, for an n=p day year, and offer considerable experimental evidence that the limiting distribution of these set lengths, divided by p^(1/2), for pleq x as x goes to infinity, converges to the limiting distribution of X_n/n^(1/2), as n goes to infinity.


Polynomial maps over finite fields are believed to behave like random maps, even though there are very few rigorous results in this direction. The normalised length of an orbit of a random map obeys a limiting smooth distribution function. The author computes the length of the forward orbit of a quadratic polynomial \(f(z)=z^2+c\) over the field of \(p\) elements, for fixed parameter \(c\) and fixed integer initial condition \(\alpha\).NEWLINENEWLINEThe data collected from approximately two million primes provide convincing evidence that the normalised length of polynomial orbits is asymptotically (large \(p\)) distributed according to the aforementioned distribution. A related problem -- the density of the set of primes for which the orbit through \(\alpha\) passes through the origin -- is also considered and analysed using similar methods. These findings lead to the formulation of two conjectures.











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