Learning to Predict from Textual Data

DOI10.1613/JAIR.3865MaRDI QIDQ4899132zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Kira Radinsky, Sagie Davidovich, S. Markovitch

Publication date 7 January 2013

Published in Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1402.0574

zbMATH Keywords

data miningmachine learningsemantic techniquesnatural language modelingnews articlesprediction of future eventsPundit algorithm

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Learning and adaptive systems in artificial intelligence (68T05) Natural language processing (68T50) Computing methodologies for text processing; mathematical typography (68U15)

Abstract: Given a current news event, we tackle the problem of generating plausible predictions of future events it might cause. We present a new methodology for modeling and predicting such future news events using machine learning and data mining techniques. Our Pundit algorithm generalizes examples of causality pairs to infer a causality predictor. To obtain precisely labeled causality examples, we mine 150 years of news articles and apply semantic natural language modeling techniques to headlines containing certain predefined causality patterns. For generalization, the model uses a vast number of world knowledge ontologies. Empirical evaluation on real news articles shows that our Pundit algorithm performs as well as non-expert humans.

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