Lessons in uncertainty quantification for turbulent dynamical systems
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fluctuation-dissipation theoremsinformation barriersinformation theorymodel errorpredictionstochastic PDEsturbulent systemsuncertainty quantification
Fokker-Planck equations (35Q84) PDEs in connection with geophysics (35Q86) PDEs in connection with control and optimization (35Q93) PDEs in connection with information and communication (35Q94) PDEs with randomness, stochastic partial differential equations (35R60) Stochastic partial differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H15) Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.) (60H30) Statistical aspects of information-theoretic topics (62B10) Information theory (general) (94A15)
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- Learning nonlinear turbulent dynamics from partial observations via analytically solvable conditional statistics
- A new efficient parameter estimation algorithm for high-dimensional complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems with partial observations
- Stochastic reduced-order models for stable nonlinear ordinary differential equations
- Reduced one-dimensional models for wave turbulence system
- Noisy Lagrangian tracers for filtering random rotating compressible flows
- An information-theoretic framework for improving imperfect dynamical predictions via multi-model ensemble forecasts
- Blended particle methods with adaptive subspaces for filtering turbulent dynamical systems
- Predicting the cloud patterns for the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation through a low-order stochastic model
- Blended reduced subspace algorithms for uncertainty quantification of quadratic systems with a stable mean state
- Quantification and prediction of extreme events in a one-dimensional nonlinear dispersive wave model
- Global analysis of Navier-Stokes and Boussinesq stochastic flows using dynamical orthogonality
- Quantifying uncertainty for predictions with model error in non-Gaussian systems with intermittency
- Probabilistic description of extreme events in intermittently unstable dynamical systems excited by correlated stochastic processes
- Conceptual dynamical models for turbulence
- Intermittency in turbulent diffusion models with a mean gradient
- A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
- A dynamically bi-orthogonal method for time-dependent stochastic partial differential equations. I: Derivation and algorithms
- Strategies for reduced-order models for predicting the statistical responses and uncertainty quantification in complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Rigorous analysis for efficient statistically accurate algorithms for solving Fokker-Planck equations in large dimensions
- Accuracy of some approximate Gaussian filters for the Navier-Stokes equation in the presence of model error
- Linear and nonlinear statistical response theories with prototype applications to sensitivity analysis and statistical control of complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Statistical finite elements for misspecified models
- Predicting observed and hidden extreme events in complex nonlinear dynamical systems with partial observations and short training time series
- Lagrangian uncertainty quantification and information inequalities for stochastic flows
- Statistically accurate low-order models for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
- Improving prediction skill of imperfect turbulent models through statistical response and information theory
- A causality-based learning approach for discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from partial observations with stochastic parameterization
- New links between invariant dynamical structures and uncertainty quantification
- Launching Drifter Observations in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Shock trace prediction by reduced models for a viscous stochastic Burgers equation
- Conditional Gaussian nonlinear system: a fast preconditioner and a cheap surrogate model for complex nonlinear systems
- Lagrangian descriptors with uncertainty
- A causation-based computationally efficient strategy for deploying Lagrangian drifters to improve real-time state estimation
- CGNSDE: conditional Gaussian neural stochastic differential equation for modeling complex systems and data assimilation
- Ensemble Kalman filters for dynamical systems with unresolved turbulence
- An adaptive online smoother with closed-form solutions and information-theoretic lag selection for conditional Gaussian nonlinear systems
- A probabilistic decomposition-synthesis method for the quantification of rare events due to internal instabilities
- A mathematical framework for quantifying nonlinear uncertainty propagation in eddy identification criteria
- Deterministic identification of turbulent loads for general mechanical structures with uncertain state measurements
- Statistical phase transitions and extreme events in shallow water waves with an abrupt depth change
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