Lessons in uncertainty quantification for turbulent dynamical systems
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predictionuncertainty quantificationinformation theorystochastic PDEsmodel errorturbulent systemsfluctuation-dissipation theoremsinformation barriers
Statistical aspects of information-theoretic topics (62B10) Stochastic partial differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H15) Information theory (general) (94A15) Fokker-Planck equations (35Q84) PDEs in connection with control and optimization (35Q93) PDEs with randomness, stochastic partial differential equations (35R60) Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.) (60H30) PDEs in connection with geophysics (35Q86) PDEs in connection with information and communication (35Q94)
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- New links between invariant dynamical structures and uncertainty quantification
- Accuracy of some approximate Gaussian filters for the Navier-Stokes equation in the presence of model error
- A causation-based computationally efficient strategy for deploying Lagrangian drifters to improve real-time state estimation
- Lagrangian descriptors with uncertainty
- An information-theoretic framework for improving imperfect dynamical predictions via multi-model ensemble forecasts
- Rigorous statistical bounds in uncertainty quantification for one-layer turbulent geophysical flows
- Global analysis of Navier-Stokes and Boussinesq stochastic flows using dynamical orthogonality
- CGNSDE: conditional Gaussian neural stochastic differential equation for modeling complex systems and data assimilation
- Reduced one-dimensional models for wave turbulence system
- Ensemble Kalman filters for dynamical systems with unresolved turbulence
- A probabilistic decomposition-synthesis method for the quantification of rare events due to internal instabilities
- Stochastic reduced-order models for stable nonlinear ordinary differential equations
- Time-periodic measures, random periodic orbits, and the linear response for dissipative non-autonomous stochastic differential equations
- Linear and nonlinear statistical response theories with prototype applications to sensitivity analysis and statistical control of complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Quantifying uncertainty for predictions with model error in non-Gaussian systems with intermittency
- Non-Gaussian test models for prediction and state estimation with model errors
- A causality-based learning approach for discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from partial observations with stochastic parameterization
- Launching Drifter Observations in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Deterministic identification of turbulent loads for general mechanical structures with uncertain state measurements
- Probabilistic description of extreme events in intermittently unstable dynamical systems excited by correlated stochastic processes
- Predicting observed and hidden extreme events in complex nonlinear dynamical systems with partial observations and short training time series
- Statistically accurate low-order models for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
- Improving prediction skill of imperfect turbulent models through statistical response and information theory
- A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
- A dynamically bi-orthogonal method for time-dependent stochastic partial differential equations. I: Derivation and algorithms
- Statistical phase transitions and extreme events in shallow water waves with an abrupt depth change
- Blended reduced subspace algorithms for uncertainty quantification of quadratic systems with a stable mean state
- Quantification and prediction of extreme events in a one-dimensional nonlinear dispersive wave model
- Efficient statistically accurate algorithms for the Fokker-Planck equation in large dimensions
- Conceptual dynamical models for turbulence
- Blended particle methods with adaptive subspaces for filtering turbulent dynamical systems
- Strategies for reduced-order models for predicting the statistical responses and uncertainty quantification in complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Rigorous analysis for efficient statistically accurate algorithms for solving Fokker-Planck equations in large dimensions
- Lagrangian uncertainty quantification and information inequalities for stochastic flows
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