Limit theorems for a general stochastic rumour model

DOI10.1137/100819588MaRDI QIDQ3097542zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Elcio Lebensztayn, Fábio P. Machado, Pablo M. Rodríguez

Publication date 10 November 2011

Published in SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1003.4995

zbMATH Keywords

Daley-Kendalllimit theoremsMaki-ThompsonMarkov processstochastic rumour

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Central limit and other weak theorems (60F05) Continuous-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces (60J27) Applications of queueing theory (congestion, allocation, storage, traffic, etc.) (60K30) Social networks; opinion dynamics (91D30)

Abstract: We study a general stochastic rumour model in which an ignorant individual has a certain probability of becoming a stifler immediately upon hearing the rumour. We refer to this special kind of stifler as an uninterested individual. Our model also includes distinct rates for meetings between two spreaders in which both become stiflers or only one does, so that particular cases are the classical Daley-Kendall and Maki-Thompson models. We prove a Law of Large Numbers and a Central Limit Theorem for the proportions of those who ultimately remain ignorant and those who have heard the rumour but become uninterested in it.

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• Asymptotic behavior for a modified Maki-Thompson model with directed inter-group interactions
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• Laws of large numbers for the frog model on the complete graph
• On the probability of rumour survival among sceptics
• On the classical Maki-Thompson rumour model in continuous time
• On the mean absorption time of multiple coalescing particles with removal at previously visited vertices
• The law of large numbers for stochastic rumor models
• The maximum proportion of spreaders in stochastic rumor models
• The Maki-Thompson model with random awareness
• Optimal control of a rumor propagation model with latent period in emergency event

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