Local optimal prediction: exploiting strangeness and the variation of sensitivity to initial condition

DOI10.1098/RSTA.1994.0097MaRDI QIDQ5687576zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Leonard A. Smith

Publication date 9 April 1997

Published in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Physical and Engineering Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.1994.0097

zbMATH Keywords

limits of predictabilitynonlinear systemprediction accuracyresidual predictabilitysystematic prediction error

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20)

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Cited in

(13)

• The bootstrap and Lyapunov exponents in deterministic chaos
• Consistent nonlinear dynamics: identifying model inadequacy
• Towards long-term prediction
• Quantitative study of the relative effects of initial condition and model uncertainties on local predictability in a nonlinear dynamical system
• Persistent stability of a chaotic system
• NONLINEAR METHODS OF CARDIOVASCULAR PHYSICS AND THEIR CLINICAL APPLICABILITY
• WINNING ENTRY OF THE K. U. LEUVEN TIME-SERIES PREDICTION COMPETITION
• Exploiting dynamical coherence: a geometric approach to parameter estimation in nonlinear models
• TIME SERIES ANALYSIS IN RECONSTRUCTED STATE SPACES
• Necessity and chance: deterministic chaos in ecology and evolution
• Synchronized Chaos in Coupled Double Disk Homopolar Dynamos
• Convergent chaos
• MODEL SELECTION, CONFIDENCE AND SCALING IN PREDICTING CHAOTIC TIME-SERIES

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