Note—On the Aggregation of Individual Probability Estimates

DOI10.1287/MNSC.27.8.959MaRDI QIDQ3921962zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Robert F. Bordley, Ronald Wolff

Publication date 1981

Published in Management Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.27.8.959

zbMATH Keywords

aggregation problemDelphi techniqueforecastinggroup decisions

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Statistical decision theory (62C99)

Cited in

(4)

• Pooling operators with the marginalization property
• Combining marginal probability distributions via minimization of weighted sum of Kullback-Leibler divergences
• Belief aggregation, updating and dynamic collective choice
• Aggregating opinions through logarithmic pooling

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