On the extendibility of finitely exchangeable probability measures

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Abstract: A length-n random sequence X1,ldots,Xn in a space S is finitely exchangeable if its distribution is invariant under all n! permutations of coordinates. Given N>n, we study the extendibility problem: when is it the case that there is a length-N exchangeable random sequence Y1,ldots,YN so that (Y1,ldots,Yn) has the same distribution as (X1,ldots,Xn)? In this paper, we give a necessary and sufficient condition so that, for given n and N, the extendibility problem admits a solution. This is done by employing functional-analytic and measure-theoretic arguments that take into account the symmetry. We also address the problem of infinite extendibility. Our results are valid when X1 has a regular distribution in a locally compact Hausdorff space S. We also revisit the problem of representation of the distribution of a finitely exchangeable sequence.




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