Parameter estimation from ICC curves
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Abstract: Incidence vs Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological model, consisting of susceptible, infected, and removed compartments. This novel methodology is used to estimate the basic reproduction ratio of recent outbreaks, including the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic.
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Cites work
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2198522 (Why is no real title available?)
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Cited in
(8)- On stable parameter estimation and short-term forecasting with quantified uncertainty with application to COVID-19 transmission
- On the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemiological parameters using only the series of deceased. A study of the Spanish outbreak using genetic algorithms
- Maximal reproduction number estimation and identification of transmission rate from the first inflection point of new infectious cases waves: COVID-19 outbreak example
- A stochastic inventory model of COVID-19 and robust, real-time identification of carriers at large and infection rate via asymptotic laws
- Parametric estimation for the incubation period distribution of COVID-19 under doubly interval censoring
- On COVID-19 outbreaks predictions: issues on stability, parameter sensitivity, and precision
- A robust phenomenological approach to investigate COVID-19 data for France
- Epidemics from the Eye of the Pathogen
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