Parametric inference for discretely observed multidimensional diffusions with small diffusion coefficient

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Abstract: We consider a multidimensional diffusion X with drift coefficient b({alpha},X(t)) and diffusion coefficient {epsilon}{sigma}({�eta},X(t)). The diffusion is discretely observed at times t_k=k{Delta} for k=1..n on a fixed interval [0,T]. We study minimum contrast estimators derived from the Gaussian process approximating X for small {epsilon}. We obtain consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of {alpha} for fixed {Delta} and {epsilon} ightarrow0 and of ({alpha},{�eta}) for {Delta} ightarrow0 and {epsilon} ightarrow0. We compare the estimators obtained with various methods and for various magnitudes of {Delta} and {epsilon} based on simulation studies. Finally, we investigate the interest of using such methods in an epidemiological framework.




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