Aki Vehtari

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List of research outcomes

This list is not complete and representing at the moment only items from zbMATH Open and arXiv. We are working on additional sources - please check back here soon!

PublicationDate of PublicationType
The ARR2 prior: flexible predictive prior definition for Bayesian auto-regressions
Bayesian Analysis
2026-09-16Paper
Posterior SBC: simulation-based calibration checking conditional on data
Statistics and Computing
2026-03-05Paper
Nested \(\widehat{R}\): assessing the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo when running many short chains
Bayesian Analysis
2026-02-12Paper
The piranha problem: large effects swimming in a small pond
Notices of the American Mathematical Society
2025-12-02Paper
Simulation-based calibration checking for Bayesian computation: the choice of test quantities shapes sensitivity
Bayesian Analysis
2025-05-23Paper
Cross-validatory model selection for Bayesian autoregressions with exogenous regressors
Bayesian Analysis
2025-05-23Paper
Projection predictive variable selection for discrete response families with finite support
Computational Statistics
2025-03-21Paper
Advances in projection predictive inference
Statistical Science
2025-02-20Paper
Prior knowledge elicitation: the past, present, and future
Bayesian Analysis
2025-02-19Paper
Visualization in Bayesian workflow
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A. Statistics in Society
2025-01-22Paper
Fast methods for posterior inference of two-group normal-normal models
Bayesian Analysis
2024-12-09Paper
Qualifying drug dosing regimens in pediatrics using Gaussian processes
Statistics in Medicine
2024-10-29Paper
Efficient estimation and correction of selection-induced bias with order statistics
Statistics and Computing
2024-07-31Paper
Bayesian cross-validation by parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo
Statistics and Computing
2024-07-10Paper
An importance sampling approach for reliable and efficient inference in Bayesian ordinary differential equation models
Stat
2024-06-03Paper
Past, present and future of software for Bayesian inference
Statistical Science
2024-05-15Paper
Detecting and diagnosing prior and likelihood sensitivity with power-scaling
Statistics and Computing
2024-04-30Paper
\(R^{\ast}\): a robust MCMC convergence diagnostic with uncertainty using decision tree classifiers
Bayesian Analysis
2024-02-27Paper
\(R^{\ast}\): a robust MCMC convergence diagnostic with uncertainty using decision tree classifiers
Bayesian Analysis
2024-02-27Paper
Bayesian hierarchical stacking: some models are (somewhere) useful
Bayesian Analysis
2024-02-27Paper
Bayesian hierarchical stacking: some models are (somewhere) useful
Bayesian Analysis
2024-02-27Paper
loo2024-02-24Software
Active Statistics2024-02-05Paper
projpred2023-12-15Software
Unbiased estimator for the variance of the leave-one-out cross-validation estimator for a Bayesian normal model with fixed variance
Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods
2023-07-12Paper
Using reference models in variable selection
Computational Statistics
2023-06-15Paper
What are the Most Important Statistical Ideas of the Past 50 Years?
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2023-03-14Paper
Projection predictive variable selection for discrete response families with finite support
(available as arXiv preprint)
2023-01-04Paper
Rank-normalization, folding, and localization: an improved \(\widehat{R}\) for assessing convergence of MCMC (with Discussion)
Bayesian Analysis
2022-12-23Paper
Practical Hilbert space approximate Bayesian Gaussian processes for probabilistic programming
Statistics and Computing
2022-12-20Paper
R-squared for Bayesian Regression Models
The American Statistician
2022-09-20Paper
A fast regression via SVD and marginalization
Computational Statistics
2022-05-10Paper
Graphical test for discrete uniformity and its applications in goodness-of-fit evaluation and multiple sample comparison
Statistics and Computing
2022-04-21Paper
Approximate leave-future-out cross-validation for Bayesian time series models
Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
2022-02-23Paper
Implicitly adaptive importance sampling
Statistics and Computing
2021-12-09Paper
Parallel Gaussian process surrogate Bayesian inference with noisy likelihood evaluations
Bayesian Analysis
2021-12-06Paper
Parallel Gaussian process surrogate Bayesian inference with noisy likelihood evaluations
Bayesian Analysis
2021-12-06Paper
Latent space projection predictive inference
(available as arXiv preprint)
2021-09-10Paper
Efficient leave-one-out cross-validation for Bayesian non-factorized normal and Student-t models
Computational Statistics
2021-06-16Paper
A decision-theoretic approach for model interpretability in Bayesian framework
Machine Learning
2020-12-29Paper
Expectation propagation as a way of life: a framework for Bayesian inference on partitioned data2020-10-05Paper
Expectation propagation as a way of life: a framework for Bayesian inference on partitioned data
(available as arXiv preprint)
2020-10-05Paper
Projective inference in high-dimensional problems: prediction and feature selection
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2020-06-11Paper
Projective inference in high-dimensional problems: prediction and feature selection
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2020-06-11Paper
Practical Hilbert space approximate Bayesian Gaussian processes for probabilistic programming
Statistics and Computing
2020-04-23Paper
When are Bayesian model probabilities overconfident?2020-03-09Paper
Projective inference in high-dimensional problems: Prediction and feature selection
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2020-01-01Paper
R-squared for Bayesian Regression Models
The American Statistician
2019-05-13Paper
Efficient acquisition rules for model-based approximate Bayesian computation
Bayesian Analysis
2019-03-29Paper
Efficient acquisition rules for model-based approximate Bayesian computation
Bayesian Analysis
2019-03-29Paper
Gaussian process modelling in approximate Bayesian computation to estimate horizontal gene transfer in bacteria
The Annals of Applied Statistics
2019-02-25Paper
Gaussian process modelling in approximate Bayesian computation to estimate horizontal gene transfer in bacteria
The Annals of Applied Statistics
2019-02-25Paper
Using stacking to average Bayesian predictive distributions (with discussion)
Bayesian Analysis
2018-12-06Paper
Using stacking to average Bayesian predictive distributions (with discussion)
Bayesian Analysis
2018-12-06Paper
Bayesian inference for spatio-temporal spike-and-slab priors
(available as arXiv preprint)
2018-04-17Paper
Bayesian inference for spatio-temporal spike-and-slab priors2018-04-17Paper
Comment: Consensus Monte Carlo using expectation propagation
Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics
2018-03-16Paper
Sparsity information and regularization in the horseshoe and other shrinkage priors
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2018-01-12Paper
Sparsity information and regularization in the horseshoe and other shrinkage priors
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2018-01-12Paper
Comment
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2017-08-07Paper
Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC
Statistics and Computing
2017-06-30Paper
Erratum to: ``Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC''
Statistics and Computing
2017-06-30Paper
Comparison of Bayesian predictive methods for model selection
Statistics and Computing
2017-06-30Paper
Using stacking to average Bayesian predictive distributions
(available as arXiv preprint)
2017-04-06Paper
Sparsity information and regularization in the horseshoe and other shrinkage priors
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2017-01-01Paper
Sparsity information and regularization in the horseshoe and other shrinkage priors
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2017-01-01Paper
Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC
Statistics and Computing
2016-08-30Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6617268 (Why is no real title available?)
(available as arXiv preprint)
2016-08-16Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6617268 (Why is no real title available?)2016-08-16Paper
The current duration design for estimating the time to pregnancy distribution: a nonparametric Bayesian perspective
Lifetime Data Analysis
2016-04-06Paper
Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models
Statistics and Computing
2016-03-22Paper
Laplace approximation for logistic Gaussian process density estimation and regression
Bayesian Analysis
2015-12-21Paper
Laplace approximation for logistic Gaussian process density estimation and regression
Bayesian Analysis
2015-12-21Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6378124 (Why is no real title available?)
(available as arXiv preprint)
2014-12-08Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6378124 (Why is no real title available?)2014-12-08Paper
GPstuff: Bayesian modeling with Gaussian processes2014-04-01Paper
Nested expectation propagation for Gaussian process classification with a multinomial probit likelihood2014-04-01Paper
Nested expectation propagation for Gaussian process classification with a multinomial probit likelihood
(available as arXiv preprint)
2014-04-01Paper
Errata: ``A survey of Bayesian predictive methods for model assessment, selection and comparison''
Statistics Surveys
2014-03-21Paper
Robust Gaussian process regression with a Student-t likelihood2014-02-03Paper
Robust Gaussian process regression with a Student-t likelihood
(available as arXiv preprint)
2014-02-03Paper
A survey of Bayesian predictive methods for model assessment, selection and comparison
Statistics Surveys
2013-05-24Paper
Bayesian Model Assessment and Comparison Using Cross-Validation Predictive Densities
Neural Computation
2003-01-13Paper
Bayesian MLP neural networks for image analysis
Pattern Recognition Letters
2002-05-20Paper


Research outcomes over time


This page was built for person: Aki Vehtari