Richard Gerlach

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List of research outcomes

This list is not complete and representing at the moment only items from zbMATH Open and arXiv. We are working on additional sources - please check back here soon!

PublicationDate of PublicationType
Semi-parametric financial risk forecasting incorporating multiple realized measures
Quantitative Finance
2025-03-10Paper
Bayesian Time-Varying Quantile Forecasting for Value-at-Risk in Financial Markets
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
2025-01-20Paper
Semiparametric GARCH via Bayesian Model Averaging
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
2024-10-11Paper
Capturing measurement error bias in volatility forecasting by realized GARCH models2024-10-02Paper
The rule of three, its variants and extensions
International Statistical Review
2024-07-24Paper
On the certainty of an inductive inference: the binomial case
Statistical Science
2024-07-24Paper
Efficient MCMC estimation of some elliptical copula regression models through scale mixtures of normals
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
2024-07-18Paper
Analyzing return asymmetry and quantiles through stochastic volatility models using asymmetric Laplace error via uniform scale mixtures
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
2024-07-18Paper
A semi-parametric conditional autoregressive joint value-at-risk and expected shortfall modeling framework incorporating realized measures
Quantitative Finance
2023-06-20Paper
Dynamic quantile function models
Quantitative Finance
2022-09-30Paper
Stationary distribution and threshold dynamics of a stochastic SIRS model with a general incidence
Physica A
2022-08-10Paper
Analysis of a stochastic distributed delay epidemic model with relapse and Gamma distribution kernel
Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
2022-03-31Paper
Manifold Optimization-Assisted Gaussian Variational Approximation
Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
2022-03-29Paper
Bayesian forecast of the basic reproduction number during the COVID-19 epidemic in Morocco and Italy
Mathematical Population Studies
2022-02-22Paper
Time-varying parameters realized GARCH models for tracking attenuation bias in volatility dynamics
Quantitative Finance
2021-09-03Paper
Forecasting risk via realized GARCH, incorporating the realized range
Quantitative Finance
2021-07-16Paper
Bayesian model selection for logistic regression with misclassified outcomes
Statistical Modelling
2020-10-07Paper
Forecasting trade durations via ACD models with mixture distributions
Quantitative Finance
2020-09-16Paper
Semi-parametric expected shortfall forecasting in financial markets
Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
2020-04-22Paper
Bayesian realized-GARCH models for financial tail risk forecasting incorporating the two-sided Weibull distribution
Quantitative Finance
2019-09-26Paper
Consensus priors for multinomial and binomial ratios
Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice
2019-08-30Paper
Bayesian tail‐risk forecasting using realized GARCH
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
2019-02-08Paper
Extended realized GARCH models2018-12-03Paper
Bayesian estimation of smoothly mixing time-varying parameter GARCH models
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2018-11-23Paper
Semi-parametric Bayesian tail risk forecasting incorporating realized measures of volatility
Quantitative Finance
2018-11-19Paper
Bayesian forecasting for financial risk management, pre and post the global financial crisis
Journal of Forecasting
2018-10-11Paper
Exponentially smoothing the skewed Laplace distribution for value-at-risk forecasting
Journal of Forecasting
2018-10-11Paper
Bayesian estimation and inference for log-ACD models
Computational Statistics
2016-08-04Paper
Posterior predictive arguments in favor of the Bayes-Laplace prior as the consensus prior for binomial and multinomial parameters
Bayesian Analysis
2016-02-12Paper
Consensus priors in the presence of general laws2015-10-21Paper
A generalized class of skew distributions and associated robust quantile regression models
The Canadian Journal of Statistics
2015-02-25Paper
Semi-parametric quantile estimation for double threshold autoregressive models with heteroskedasticity
Computational Statistics
2015-02-18Paper
Bayesian subset selection for threshold autoregressive moving-average models
Computational Statistics
2015-01-28Paper
Bayesian variable selection for Poisson regression with underreported responses
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2014-04-14Paper
Multi-regime nonlinear capital asset pricing models
Quantitative Finance
2013-12-13Paper
A comparison of estimators for regression models with change points
Statistics and Computing
2012-12-31Paper
Bayesian value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting via the asymmetric Laplace distribution
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2012-12-30Paper
Detection of structural breaks in a time-varying heteroskedastic regression model
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
2011-08-01Paper
Falling and explosive, dormant, and rising markets via multi-regime financial time series models
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
2011-04-06Paper
Bayesian model selection for heteroskedastic models
Bayesian Econometrics
2010-06-30Paper
Bayesian causal effects in quantiles: accounting for heteroscedasticity
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2010-03-30Paper
Estimation and inference for exponential smooth transition nonlinear volatility models
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
2009-12-10Paper
Optimal dynamic hedging via copula-threshold-GARCH models
Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
2009-06-18Paper
Volatility forecasting using threshold heteroskedastic models of the intra-day range
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2009-06-12Paper
A Bayesian approach to relaxing parameter restrictions in multivariate GARCH models
Test
2009-06-02Paper
Bayesian sample size determination for case-control studies with misclassification
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2009-05-29Paper
Comparison of nonnested asymmetric heteroskedastic models
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2009-04-06Paper
Inference for Proportions in a 2 × 2 Contingency Table: HPD or not HPD?
Biometrics
2008-12-22Paper
Testing for nonlinearity in mean and volatility for heteroskedastic models
Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
2008-12-17Paper
ASSESSING AND TESTING FOR THRESHOLD NONLINEARITY IN STOCK RETURNS
Australian <html_ent glyph="@amp;" ascii="&"/> New Zealand Journal of Statistics
2008-01-24Paper
ESTIMATION IN RICKER'S TWO-RELEASE METHOD: A BAYESIAN APPROACH
Australian <html_ent glyph="@amp;" ascii="&"/> New Zealand Journal of Statistics
2007-03-20Paper
Asymmetric response and interaction of U.S. and local news in financial markets
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
2006-05-24Paper
Theory &amp; Methods: Bayesian variable selection in logistic regression: predicting company earnings direction
Australian <html_ent glyph="@amp;" ascii="&"/> New Zealand Journal of Statistics
2003-08-06Paper
Efficient Bayesian Inference for Dynamic Mixture Models2002-07-30Paper
Diagnostics for Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis
2000-03-01Paper


Research outcomes over time


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