Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?

DOI10.1080/08898489509525401MaRDI QIDQ4353446zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Andrei Rogers

Publication date 11 September 1997

Published in Mathematical Population Studies (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1080/08898489509525401

zbMATH Keywords

aggregationcomplex modelsdecompositiondemographymodel biasparadoxpopulation dynamicspopulation forecastingpopulation geometrysimple models

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Mathematical geography and demography (91D20)

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• Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions
• Simple versus complex models: Evaluation, accuracy, and combining
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