Present Position and Potential Developments: Some Personal Views: Statistical Theory: The Prequential Approach
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- Adaptive game playing using multiplicative weights
- Suboptimal measures of predictive complexity for absolute loss function
- Simultaneous prediction of independent Poisson observables
- Hierarchical analysis of SUR models with extensions to correlated serial errors and time-varying parameter models
- On the complexity of function learning
- Poisson regression and zero-inflated Poisson regression: application to private health insurance data
- On evaluating stream learning algorithms
- Prediction in several conventional contexts
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- Automated adaptation strategies for stream learning
- Price probabilities: a class of Bayesian and non-Bayesian prediction rules
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- Causal interpretation of graphical models
- Measurability of functionals and of ideal point forecasts
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- Learning Bayesian networks from big data with greedy search: computational complexity and efficient implementation
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- On universal prediction and Bayesian confirmation
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- Scalable transfer learning in heterogeneous, dynamic environments
- Arbitrage of forecasting experts
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- A Bayesian analysis of beta testing
- Robustness of one-sided cross-validation to autocorrelation
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- Model selection by normalized maximum likelihood
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- Bayes factors: Prior sensitivity and model generalizability
- Verification of internal risk measure estimates
- Does data splitting improve prediction?
- Bayes factors for peri-null hypotheses
- Estimating point and density forecasts for the US economy with a factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE model
- A non-linear forecast combination procedure for binary outcomes
- Bayesian model selection based on proper scoring rules
- Extensive scoring rules
- Diagnostic tools for approximate Bayesian computation using the coverage property
- Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance
- Online forecast combinations of distributions: worst case bounds
- Can the random walk model be beaten in out-of-sample density forecasts? Evidence from intraday foreign exchange rates
- Predictive cross-validation for the choice of linear mixed-effects models with application to data from the swiss HIV cohort study
- On future directions in statistical methodologies -- some speculations
- A Beaufort Scale of Predictability
- Moment tests for density forecast evaluation in the presence of parameter estimation uncertainty
- A score regression approach to assess calibration of continuous probabilistic predictions
- Construction and Visualization of Confidence Sets for Frequentist Distributional Forecasts
- Combining predictive distributions
- Prequential Randomness
- Enhancing hedging performance with the spanning polynomial projection
- Recursive forecast combination for dependent heterogeneous data
- A Tutorial on Learning with Bayesian Networks
- Estimating prediction error: cross-validation vs. accumulated prediction error
- Critical issues in different inferential paradigms
- Computable Bayesian compression for uniformly discretizable statistical models
- Bayes and robust Bayes prediction with an application to a rainfall prediction problem
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 79248 (Why is no real title available?)
- Learning model trees from evolving data streams
- Bayesian ikference procedures derived via the concept of relative surprise
- U-plot method for testing the goodness-of-fit of the power-law process
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 472940 (Why is no real title available?)
- Change-point problems in software and hardware reliability
- Learning Bayesian network classifiers by risk minimization
- Eliciting prior information to enhance the predictive performance of bayesian graphical models
- Goodness of fit tests for a class of Markov random field models
- Local proper scoring rules of order two
- Catching up Faster by Switching Sooner: A Predictive Approach to Adaptive Estimation with an Application to the AIC–BIC Dilemma
- Improvement over bayes prediction in small samples in the presence of model uncertainty
- A prequential test for exchangeable theories
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