A mathematical model for predicting the geographic spread of new infectious agents

DOI10.1016/0025-5564(88)90075-2zbMATH Open0651.92016OpenAlexW2005685693MaRDI QIDQ1106777FDOQ1106777

Authors: Ira M. jun. Longini 

Publication date: 1988

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(88)90075-2

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zbMATH Keywords

predictioninfectious diseaseepidemiologydiscrete timeepidemic threshold theoremcontinuous state spaceimmunity following infectionnetwork of populationsspread of influenzatemporal-geographic spread of infectious agents

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Population dynamics (general) (92D25)

Cites Work

• A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Qualitative analyses of communicable disease models
• AN APPROXIMATE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR FOR CHAIN BINOMIAL MODELS
• The generalized discrete-time epidemic model with immunity: A synthesis
• Household and Community Transmission Parameters from Final Distributions of Infections in Households

Cited In (31)

• An SEIS epidemic model with transport-related infection
• EPIDEMIC PREDICTABILITY IN META-POPULATION MODELS WITH HETEROGENEOUS COUPLINGS: THE IMPACT OF DISEASE PARAMETER VALUES
• Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents
• Global properties of a two-scale network stochastic delayed human epidemic dynamic model
• The modeling of global epidemics: stochastic dynamics and predictability
• Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity
• The geographic spread of infectious diseases. Models and applications. With contributions from Alun Lloyd
• Global stability of an SIRS epidemic model with transport-related infection
• A two-scale network dynamic model for human mobility process
• A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
• On the dynamics of SEIRS epidemic model with transport-related infection
• A structured epidemic model incorporating geographic mobility among regions
• A discrete-time model with vaccination for a measles epidemic
• Complete global analysis of a two-scale network SIRS epidemic dynamic model with distributed delay and random perturbations
• Predicting epidemics on directed contact networks
• Models of infectious diseases in spatially heterogeneous environments
• Contact network epidemiology: Bond percolation applied to infectious disease prediction and control
• A MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR SPATIALLY EXPANDING INFECTED AREA OF EPIDEMICS TRANSMITTED THROUGH HETEROGENEOUSLY DISTRIBUTED SUSCEPTIBLE UNITS
• Epidemic modeling in metapopulation systems with heterogeneous coupling pattern: theory and simulations
• Global disease spread: statistics and estimation of arrival times
• Fluctuation effects in metapopulation models: percolation and pandemic threshold
• Invasion threshold in structured populations with recurrent mobility patterns
• Global dynamics of SIS models with transport-related infection
• Global epidemic invasion thresholds in directed cattle subpopulation networks having source, sink, and transit nodes
• The effect of antibody-dependent enhancement, cross immunity, and vector population on the dynamics of dengue fever
• Human mobility and time spent at destination: impact on spatial epidemic spreading
• A multi-city epidemic model
• Modeling disease spread via transport-related infection by a delay differential equation
• Epidemic patch models applied to pandemic influenza: contact matrix, stochasticity, robustness of predictions
• A metapopulation model for chikungunya including populations mobility on a large-scale network
• Spreading disease with transport-related infection

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