Stochastic models of HIV epidemic in homosexual populations - the effects of mixing patterns

DOI10.1016/0895-7177(91)90040-EMaRDI QIDQ1197706zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Wai-Yuan Tan

Publication date 16 January 1993

Published in Mathematical and Computer Modelling (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/0895-7177(91)90040-e

zbMATH Keywords

comparison of stochastic and deterministic modelscontinuous timediscrete time modelsmixing patternmulti-stage Markovian models of HIV transmissionsimulations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

Review text

The paper compares a number of multi-stage Markovian models of HIV transmission, in discrete and continuous time, with the corresponding deterministic analogues. The comparison is achieved by means of computer simulation, so that the results take the form of qualitative tendencies observed for various choices of the parameters, including the mixing pattern. In all the figures depicted, the deterministic curve lays for most of its evolution between the extreme values found in the simulations. Certain systematic differences between stochastic and deterministic, analogous to those known for more simple models, were also noted.

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Cited in

(22)

• Studying health histories of cancer: A new model connecting cancer incidence and survival
• Probability distribution of the number of initiated cells of carcinogenesis under prevention
• The state-space model of the HIV epidemic with variable infection in the homosexual populations
• A stochastic model of the HIV epidemic involving both sexual contact and IV drug use
• The chain multinomial models of the HIV epidemiology in homosexual populations
• Simulating the process of malignant transformation
• A two-stage model for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia: Application to hereditary and nonhereditary leukemogenesis
• A carcinogenesis model describing mutational events at the DNA adduct level
• A stochastic model for the HIV epidemic in homosexual populations involving age and race
• Stochastic modeling of carcinogenesis: Some new insights
• A stochastic model of radiation carcinogenesis: Latent time distributions and their properties
• A stochastic model for multistage tumorigenesis in developing and adult mice
• The impact of sexual mixing patterns on the spread of AIDS
• A stochastic model for drug resistance in AIDS chemotherapy and the HIV incubation distribution
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• Assessing effects of changing environment by a multiple pathway model of carcinogenesis
• Stochastic modeling of carcinogenesis by state space models: a new approach
• How bad can it get? Bounding worst case endemic heterogeneous mixing models of HIV/AIDS

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