The reproducible properties of correct forecasts

Prediction theory (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G25) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Rationality and learning in game theory (91A26) Applications of game theory (91A80) Statistical methods; economic indices and measures (91B82)

Recommendations

Forecasting: predictability, probability, and persistence
On Testing the Validity of Sequential Probability Forecasts
Correction to: ‘Valid sequential inference on probability forecast performance’
Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
Testable forecasts
Probabilistic forecast reconciliation: properties, evaluation and score optimisation
Evaluating the Accuracy of Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions

Cited in

(58)

A nonmanipulable test
Transferable deposits as a screening mechanism
Mostly calibrated
On comparison of experts
Non-asymptotic calibration and resolution
Merging and testing opinions
Learning hurdles for sleeping experts
Restriction access
Mechanism design with approximate valuations
Quantum strategic game theory
The curse of simultaneity
No justified complaints: on fair sharing of multiple resources
From randomizing polynomials to parallel algorithms
Practical verified computation with streaming interactive proofs
Paging for multi-core shared caches
Noise vs computational intractability in dynamics
Distribution free evolvability of polynomial functions over all convex loss functions
Algorithms on evolving graphs
Towards deterministic tree code constructions
Linear time decoding of regular expander codes
List decoding subspace codes from insertions and deletions
Bounds on locally testable codes with unique tests
Approximately optimal mechanism design via differential privacy
Fairness through awareness
Dynamics of prisoner's dilemma and the evolution of cooperation on networks
Crowdsourced Bayesian auctions
Super-polynomial quantum speed-ups for Boolean evaluation trees with hidden structure
Quantum interactive proofs with weak error bounds
Quantum money from knots
(Leveled) fully homomorphic encryption without bootstrapping
From extractable collision resistance to succinct non-interactive arguments of knowledge, and back again
Targeted malleability: homomorphic encryption for restricted computations
Sherali-Adams relaxations and indistinguishability in counting logics
Graph densification
Spectral sparsification via random spanners
On persistent homotopy, knotted complexes and the Alexander module
Gadgets and anti-gadgets leading to a complexity dichotomy
On beating the hybrid argument
Linear programming, width-1 CSPs, and robust satisfaction
Marginal hitting sets imply super-polynomial lower bounds for permanent
On the recoverability of forecasters' preferences
A strategy-proof test of portfolio returns
Efficient Testing of Forecasts
The Complexity of Forecast Testing
A prequential test for exchangeable theories
Learning in Games
Testable forecasts
Efficient testing of forecasts
Defensive Forecasting: How to Use Similarity to Make Forecasts That Pass Statistical Tests
Good Randomized Sequential Probability Forecasting is Always Possible
Calibration with Many Checking Rules
High-confidence predictions under adversarial uncertainty
On the degree of univariate polynomials over the integers
Compressed matrix multiplication
Indistinguishable predictions and multi-group fair learning
Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
Nonmanipulable Bayesian testing
On universal algorithms for adaptive forecasting

This page was built for publication: The reproducible properties of correct forecasts

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q1434485)