A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics.

DOI10.1098/RSPA.1927.0118zbMATH Open53.0517.01OpenAlexW2148301044WikidataQ55954014 ScholiaQ55954014MaRDI QIDQ1448029FDOQ1448029

Authors: W. O. Kermack, A. G. McKendrick 

Publication date: 1927

Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1927.0118

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Integral equations (45-XX)

Cited In (only showing first 100 items - show all)

• Exploring the seasonality and optimal control strategy of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China: the impact of seasonal testing
• Impact of community structure on the spread of epidemics on time-varying multiplex networks
• Predicting epidemic threshold in complex networks by graph neural network
• Optimal epidemic control by social distancing and vaccination of an infection structured by time since infection: the COVID-19 case study
• Modeling correlated uncertainties in stochastic compartmental models
• Assessing the forecasting power of mean-field approaches for disease spreading using active systems
• A complex dynamic of an eco-epidemiological mathematical model with migration
• Multiple pandemic waves vs multi-period/multi-phasic epidemics: global shape of the COVID-19 pandemic
• Modelling techniques in cholera epidemiology: a systematic and critical review
• Economic epidemiological modelling: a progress report
• Analysis of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with transport-related infection
• Stability analysis of a delayed SEIRQ epidemic model with diffusion
• Stability analysis of an age structured population model with fractional time derivative
• Estimating time-varying reproduction number by deep learning techniques
• A modeling study on the effect of interstate mobility restrictions on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic
• Uniform asymptotic approximations for the phase plane trajectories of the SIR model with vital dynamics
• Analysis of the auto-oscillation of a perturbed SIR epidemiological model
• Positive traveling waves in a diffusive epidemic system with distributed delay and constant external supplies
• Rank-one chaos in a delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and treatment rates
• Mathematical models for the large spread of a contact-based infection: a statistical mechanics approach
• Optimal control and bifurcation analysis of a delayed fractional-order SIRS model with general incidence rate and delayed control
• Mathematic analysis of a \textit{SIHV} COVID-19 pandemic model taking into account a vaccination strategy
• Fitting epidemic models to data: a tutorial in memory of Fred Brauer
• Dynamic analysis of a three-strain COVID-19 SEIR epidemic model with general incidence rates
• Data-driven modeling of impact of differential efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines in two socio-economically contrasting cities: New York, USA and Bogotá, Colombia
• On time-delayed two-strain epidemic model with general incidence rates and therapy
• A model for the propagation and control of pulmonary tuberculosis disease in Kenya
• A SIR model with incomplete data for the analysis of influenza a spread in Ningbo
• Phase portraits of an SIR epidemic model
• Information theory unification of epidemiological and population dynamics
• Spatiotemporal patterns in a space-time discrete SIRS epidemic model with self- and cross-diffusion
• Dynamics analysis and optimal control of delayed SEIR model in COVID-19 epidemic
• The effect of different control strategies on the dynamics of a dengue model
• Global existence, uniqueness, and non-negativity of the solutions to stochastic partial differential equations of infectious diseases
• Modeling and analysis of low-level transmission ZIKV dynamics via a Poisson point process on sexual transmission route
• Improved stability analysis on a partially diffusive model of the coronavirus disease of 2019
• An unconditional boundary and dynamics preserving scheme for the stochastic epidemic model
• On mathematical model of infectious disease by using fractals fractional analysis
• Adaptive COVID-19 screening of a subpopulation
• A stochastic multi-scale COVID-19 model with interval parameters
• Dynamical behavior of the fecal-oral transmission diseases model on a \(T\)-periodic evolution domain
• Threshold dynamics and asymptotic profiles of a time-periodic nonlocal dispersal SIS epidemic model with Dirichlet boundary conditions
• Dynamics of an epidemic model with relapse and delay
• Mathematical analysis and optimal strategy for a COVID-19 pandemic model with intervention
• Analysis of a degenerated diffusion SVEQIRV epidemic model with general incidence in a space heterogeneous environment
• Supercritical spatial SIR epidemics: spreading speed and herd immunity
• Age-based investigation of COVID-19 prevalence in Ethiopia using mathematical modelling
• Impact of travel on spread of infection
• Rate-induced tipping and chaos in models of epidemics
• The role of mobility in epidemics near criticality
• Stabilization of age-structured chemostat hyperbolic PDE with actuator dynamics
• The costs of overcrowding (and release): strategic discharges for isolated facilities during epidemiological outbreaks
• Dynamical analysis of a three-dimensional discrete-time SIR model
• Contagion-diffusion processes with recurrent mobility patterns of distinguishable agents
• Stochastic analysis of two-strain epidemic model with non-monotone incidence rates: application to COVID-19 pandemic
• Global stability of SIR model with heterogeneous transmission rate modeled by the Preisach operator
• A survey on Lyapunov functions for epidemic compartmental models
• Persistence and extinction for stochastic HBV epidemic model with treatment cure rate
• Public goods in networks with constraints on sharing
• A generic model for pandemics in networks of communities and the role of vaccination
• Fractional commensurate model on COVID-19 with microbial co-infection: an optimal control analysis
• Riding the waves from epidemic to endemic: viral mutations, immunological change and policy responses
• A comparative cost assessment of coalescing epidemic control strategies in heterogeneous social-contact networks
• Dynamics of an almost periodic epidemic model with non-local infections and latency in a patchy environment
• SIR epidemic model with non-Lipschitz stochastic perturbations
• Modeling the spread of viral infection in a local atmosphere infected with SARS-COV-2 virus. Constant virion concentration
• On the continuum limit of epidemiological models on graphs: convergence and approximation results
• On the dynamics of an epidemic patch model with mass-action transmission mechanism and asymmetric dispersal patterns
• On degenerate reaction-diffusion epidemic models with mass action or standard incidence mechanism
• Discrete-time staged progression epidemic models
• Reaction-diffusion equations with transport noise and critical superlinear diffusion: global well-posedness of weakly dissipative systems
• Effects of heterogeneous opinion interactions in many-agent systems for epidemic dynamics
• Coupling between infectious diseases leads to synchronization of their dynamics
• Learning effective stochastic differential equations from microscopic simulations: linking stochastic numerics to deep learning
• Using hybrid automata to model mitigation of global disease spread via travel restriction
• Competing control scenarios in probabilistic SIR epidemics on social-contact networks
• Bridging the Covid-19 data and the epidemiological model using the time-varying parameter SIRD model
• The effect of host population heterogeneity on epidemic outbreaks
• Persistence or disappearance dynamics of a vector-borne disease model with climate change and distributed delay
• Stability and codimension 2 bifurcations in an \(SIR\) model with incubation delay
• Dynamics of compositions of some Lotka-Volterra mappings operating in a two-dimensional simplex
• Stochastic SIRS epidemic model with perturbation on immunity decay rate
• Threshold dynamics of a stochastic infectious disease model with vaccination age under saturated media coverage
• Vaccination strategies for a seasonal epidemic: a simple SIR model
• Computer virus propagation modelled as a stochastic differential game
• Stability analysis of a new differential-difference model applied to the pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) effect on the spread of HIV
• Hybrid stochastic SIS epidemic models with vaccination: stability of the disease-free state and applications
• Exact solutions to SIR epidemic models via integrable discretization
• Passive and active field theories for disease spreading
• The coupled dynamics of information-behavior-epidemic propagation considering the heterogeneity of adoption thresholds and network structures in multiplex networks
• Critical behavior of the stochastic SIR model on random bond-diluted lattices
• Dynamic analysis of a SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and ratio dependent pulse control
• Dynamical behavior of a hepatitis B epidemic model and its NSFD scheme
• Stability switches via endemic bubbles in a COVID-19 model examining the effect of mask usage and saturated treatment with reinfection
• Asymptotic-preserving neural networks for hyperbolic systems with diffusive scaling
• Estimation of time-dependent transmission rate for COVID-19 SVIRD model using predictor-corrector algorithm
• Equivalence of mass action and Poisson network SIR epidemic models
• Efficient mask allocation during a pandemic
• Analysis of an SIS reaction-diffusion-chemotaxis epidemic model with gradient-dependent flux limitation and standard incidence
• On mathematical models of COVID-19 pandemic

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