A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics.

DOI10.1098/RSPA.1927.0118zbMATH Open53.0517.01OpenAlexW2148301044WikidataQ55954014 ScholiaQ55954014MaRDI QIDQ1448029FDOQ1448029

Authors: W. O. Kermack, A. G. McKendrick 

Publication date: 1927

Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1927.0118

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Integral equations (45-XX)

Cited In (only showing first 100 items - show all)

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• How to regulate pattern formations for malware propagation in cyber-physical systems
• Self-adapting infectious dynamics on random networks
• Numerical threshold stability analysis of a positivity-preserving IMEX numerical scheme for a nonlinear age-space structured SIR epidemic model
• Existence of traveling wave solutions for an infection-age structured model with population diffusion
• Multistability and chaos in SEIRS epidemic model with a periodic time-dependent transmission rate
• Long-term effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on total disease burden in parsimonious epidemiological models
• Contagion dynamics in time-varying metapopulation networks with node's activity and attractiveness
• Turing instability analysis and parameter identification based on optimal control and statistics method for a rumor propagation system
• Impact of trans-regional travel-related testing on epidemic spreading
• A Markov multiple state model for epidemic and insurance modelling
• Modelling pandemic behavior with a network-SIRD approach
• The effect of splitting strategy on qualitative property preservation
• Stability analysis and numerical approximate solution for a new epidemic model with the vaccination strategy
• Dynamics analysis of a delayed Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus model in humans
• Spreading of infection on temporal networks: an edge-centered, contact-based perspective
• A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
• A KdV-SIR equation and its analytical solutions for solitary epidemic waves
• Global dynamic analysis of a discontinuous infectious disease system with two thresholds
• Oscillating behavior of a compartmental model with retarded noisy dynamic infection rate
• Stability and bifurcation analysis of the Caputo fractional-order asymptomatic COVID-19 model with multiple time-delays
• Dynamics analysis of an 11-dimensional multiscale COVID-19 model with interval parameters
• Complex dynamics and fractional-order optimal control of an epidemic model with saturated treatment and incidence
• On a diffusive epidemic model with the tendency to move away from the infectious diseases
• Stability switches, Hopf bifurcation and chaotic dynamics in simple epidemic model with state-dependent delay
• A novel compartmental VSLIT model used to analyze the dynamics of tuberculosis in Algeria and Ukraine and the assessment of vaccination and treatment effects
• Intra and extra host mathematical modeling of HIV virus infection dynamics 1, 2
• Efficient work-from-home allocation for pandemic mitigation
• A node-based SIRS epidemic model on two-layer interconnected networks: dynamical analysis of interplay between layers
• Impact of vaccination on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical study using fractional derivatives
• Bifurcation analysis of an SIS epidemic model with a generalized non-monotonic and saturated incidence rate
• Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
• Modeling the importance of temporary hospital beds on the dynamics of emerged infectious disease
• Emergence of a reversed backward bifurcation, reversed hysteresis effect, and backward bifurcation phenomenon in a COVID-19 mathematical model
• Final epidemic size and critical times for susceptible-infectious-recovered models with a generalized contact rate
• Stationary distribution and density function expression for a stochastic SIQRS epidemic model with temporary immunity
• A novel self-adaptive SIS model based on the mutual interaction between a graph and its line graph
• Exploring the complex dynamics of a diffusive epidemic model: stability and bifurcation analysis
• Pattern selection mechanism from the equilibrium point and limit cycle
• Dynamical properties of a new SIR epidemic model
• A long-time behavior preserving numerical scheme for age-of-infection epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing
• Measuring the impact of donations at the bottom of the pyramid (BoP) amid the COVID-19 pandemic
• Discrete and continuous models of the COVID-19 pandemic propagation with a limited time spent in compartments
• Multi-species prey-predator dynamics during a multi-strain pandemic
• Chaos, periodic structures, and multistability: complex dynamical behaviors of an eco-epidemiological model in parameter planes
• Stochastic near-optimal controls for treatment and vaccination in a COVID-19 model with transmission incorporating Lévy jumps
• SIR dynamics with economically driven contact rates
• Dynamics of COVID-19 via singular and non-singular fractional operators under real statistical observations
• The impact of nodes of information dissemination on epidemic spreading in dynamic multiplex networks
• Fractal and fractional SIS model for syphilis data
• Exploring the seasonality and optimal control strategy of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China: the impact of seasonal testing
• Impact of community structure on the spread of epidemics on time-varying multiplex networks
• Predicting epidemic threshold in complex networks by graph neural network
• Optimal epidemic control by social distancing and vaccination of an infection structured by time since infection: the COVID-19 case study
• Modeling correlated uncertainties in stochastic compartmental models
• Assessing the forecasting power of mean-field approaches for disease spreading using active systems
• A complex dynamic of an eco-epidemiological mathematical model with migration
• Multiple pandemic waves vs multi-period/multi-phasic epidemics: global shape of the COVID-19 pandemic
• Modelling techniques in cholera epidemiology: a systematic and critical review
• Economic epidemiological modelling: a progress report
• Analysis of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with transport-related infection
• Stability analysis of a delayed SEIRQ epidemic model with diffusion
• Stability analysis of an age structured population model with fractional time derivative
• Estimating time-varying reproduction number by deep learning techniques
• A modeling study on the effect of interstate mobility restrictions on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic
• Uniform asymptotic approximations for the phase plane trajectories of the SIR model with vital dynamics
• Analysis of the auto-oscillation of a perturbed SIR epidemiological model
• Positive traveling waves in a diffusive epidemic system with distributed delay and constant external supplies
• Rank-one chaos in a delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and treatment rates
• Mathematical models for the large spread of a contact-based infection: a statistical mechanics approach
• Optimal control and bifurcation analysis of a delayed fractional-order SIRS model with general incidence rate and delayed control
• Mathematic analysis of a \textit{SIHV} COVID-19 pandemic model taking into account a vaccination strategy
• Fitting epidemic models to data: a tutorial in memory of Fred Brauer
• Dynamic analysis of a three-strain COVID-19 SEIR epidemic model with general incidence rates
• Data-driven modeling of impact of differential efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines in two socio-economically contrasting cities: New York, USA and Bogotá, Colombia
• On time-delayed two-strain epidemic model with general incidence rates and therapy
• A model for the propagation and control of pulmonary tuberculosis disease in Kenya
• A SIR model with incomplete data for the analysis of influenza a spread in Ningbo
• Phase portraits of an SIR epidemic model
• Information theory unification of epidemiological and population dynamics
• Spatiotemporal patterns in a space-time discrete SIRS epidemic model with self- and cross-diffusion
• Dynamics analysis and optimal control of delayed SEIR model in COVID-19 epidemic
• The effect of different control strategies on the dynamics of a dengue model
• Global existence, uniqueness, and non-negativity of the solutions to stochastic partial differential equations of infectious diseases
• Modeling and analysis of low-level transmission ZIKV dynamics via a Poisson point process on sexual transmission route
• Improved stability analysis on a partially diffusive model of the coronavirus disease of 2019
• An unconditional boundary and dynamics preserving scheme for the stochastic epidemic model
• On mathematical model of infectious disease by using fractals fractional analysis
• Adaptive COVID-19 screening of a subpopulation
• A stochastic multi-scale COVID-19 model with interval parameters
• Dynamical behavior of the fecal-oral transmission diseases model on a \(T\)-periodic evolution domain
• Threshold dynamics and asymptotic profiles of a time-periodic nonlocal dispersal SIS epidemic model with Dirichlet boundary conditions
• Dynamics of an epidemic model with relapse and delay
• Mathematical analysis and optimal strategy for a COVID-19 pandemic model with intervention
• Analysis of a degenerated diffusion SVEQIRV epidemic model with general incidence in a space heterogeneous environment
• Supercritical spatial SIR epidemics: spreading speed and herd immunity
• Age-based investigation of COVID-19 prevalence in Ethiopia using mathematical modelling
• Impact of travel on spread of infection
• Rate-induced tipping and chaos in models of epidemics
• The role of mobility in epidemics near criticality

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