A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics.

DOI10.1098/RSPA.1927.0118zbMATH Open53.0517.01OpenAlexW2148301044WikidataQ55954014 ScholiaQ55954014MaRDI QIDQ1448029FDOQ1448029

Authors: W. O. Kermack, A. G. McKendrick 

Publication date: 1927

Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1927.0118

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Integral equations (45-XX)

Cited In (only showing first 100 items - show all)

• Biochemical models of SIR and SIRS: Effects of bilinear incidence rate on infection-free and endemic states
• How to regulate pattern formations for malware propagation in cyber-physical systems
• Self-adapting infectious dynamics on random networks
• Numerical threshold stability analysis of a positivity-preserving IMEX numerical scheme for a nonlinear age-space structured SIR epidemic model
• Existence of traveling wave solutions for an infection-age structured model with population diffusion
• Multistability and chaos in SEIRS epidemic model with a periodic time-dependent transmission rate
• Long-term effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on total disease burden in parsimonious epidemiological models
• Contagion dynamics in time-varying metapopulation networks with node's activity and attractiveness
• Turing instability analysis and parameter identification based on optimal control and statistics method for a rumor propagation system
• Impact of trans-regional travel-related testing on epidemic spreading
• A Markov multiple state model for epidemic and insurance modelling
• Modelling pandemic behavior with a network-SIRD approach
• The effect of splitting strategy on qualitative property preservation
• Stability analysis and numerical approximate solution for a new epidemic model with the vaccination strategy
• Dynamics analysis of a delayed Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus model in humans
• Spreading of infection on temporal networks: an edge-centered, contact-based perspective
• A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
• A KdV-SIR equation and its analytical solutions for solitary epidemic waves
• Global dynamic analysis of a discontinuous infectious disease system with two thresholds
• Oscillating behavior of a compartmental model with retarded noisy dynamic infection rate
• Stability and bifurcation analysis of the Caputo fractional-order asymptomatic COVID-19 model with multiple time-delays
• Dynamics analysis of an 11-dimensional multiscale COVID-19 model with interval parameters
• Complex dynamics and fractional-order optimal control of an epidemic model with saturated treatment and incidence
• On a diffusive epidemic model with the tendency to move away from the infectious diseases
• Stability switches, Hopf bifurcation and chaotic dynamics in simple epidemic model with state-dependent delay
• A novel compartmental VSLIT model used to analyze the dynamics of tuberculosis in Algeria and Ukraine and the assessment of vaccination and treatment effects
• Intra and extra host mathematical modeling of HIV virus infection dynamics 1, 2
• Efficient work-from-home allocation for pandemic mitigation
• A node-based SIRS epidemic model on two-layer interconnected networks: dynamical analysis of interplay between layers
• Impact of vaccination on the dynamics of COVID-19: a mathematical study using fractional derivatives
• Bifurcation analysis of an SIS epidemic model with a generalized non-monotonic and saturated incidence rate
• Global dynamics and control strategies of an epidemic model having logistic growth, non-monotone incidence with the impact of limited hospital beds
• Modeling the importance of temporary hospital beds on the dynamics of emerged infectious disease
• Emergence of a reversed backward bifurcation, reversed hysteresis effect, and backward bifurcation phenomenon in a COVID-19 mathematical model
• Final epidemic size and critical times for susceptible-infectious-recovered models with a generalized contact rate
• Stationary distribution and density function expression for a stochastic SIQRS epidemic model with temporary immunity
• A novel self-adaptive SIS model based on the mutual interaction between a graph and its line graph
• Exploring the complex dynamics of a diffusive epidemic model: stability and bifurcation analysis
• Pattern selection mechanism from the equilibrium point and limit cycle
• Dynamical properties of a new SIR epidemic model
• A long-time behavior preserving numerical scheme for age-of-infection epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing
• Measuring the impact of donations at the bottom of the pyramid (BoP) amid the COVID-19 pandemic
• Discrete and continuous models of the COVID-19 pandemic propagation with a limited time spent in compartments
• Multi-species prey-predator dynamics during a multi-strain pandemic
• Chaos, periodic structures, and multistability: complex dynamical behaviors of an eco-epidemiological model in parameter planes
• Stochastic near-optimal controls for treatment and vaccination in a COVID-19 model with transmission incorporating Lévy jumps
• SIR dynamics with economically driven contact rates
• Dynamics of COVID-19 via singular and non-singular fractional operators under real statistical observations
• The impact of nodes of information dissemination on epidemic spreading in dynamic multiplex networks
• Fractal and fractional SIS model for syphilis data
• Stabilization of age-structured chemostat hyperbolic PDE with actuator dynamics
• The costs of overcrowding (and release): strategic discharges for isolated facilities during epidemiological outbreaks
• Dynamical analysis of a three-dimensional discrete-time SIR model
• Contagion-diffusion processes with recurrent mobility patterns of distinguishable agents
• Stochastic analysis of two-strain epidemic model with non-monotone incidence rates: application to COVID-19 pandemic
• Global stability of SIR model with heterogeneous transmission rate modeled by the Preisach operator
• A survey on Lyapunov functions for epidemic compartmental models
• Persistence and extinction for stochastic HBV epidemic model with treatment cure rate
• Public goods in networks with constraints on sharing
• A generic model for pandemics in networks of communities and the role of vaccination
• Fractional commensurate model on COVID-19 with microbial co-infection: an optimal control analysis
• Riding the waves from epidemic to endemic: viral mutations, immunological change and policy responses
• A comparative cost assessment of coalescing epidemic control strategies in heterogeneous social-contact networks
• Dynamics of an almost periodic epidemic model with non-local infections and latency in a patchy environment
• SIR epidemic model with non-Lipschitz stochastic perturbations
• Modeling the spread of viral infection in a local atmosphere infected with SARS-COV-2 virus. Constant virion concentration
• On the continuum limit of epidemiological models on graphs: convergence and approximation results
• On the dynamics of an epidemic patch model with mass-action transmission mechanism and asymmetric dispersal patterns
• On degenerate reaction-diffusion epidemic models with mass action or standard incidence mechanism
• Discrete-time staged progression epidemic models
• Reaction-diffusion equations with transport noise and critical superlinear diffusion: global well-posedness of weakly dissipative systems
• Effects of heterogeneous opinion interactions in many-agent systems for epidemic dynamics
• Coupling between infectious diseases leads to synchronization of their dynamics
• Learning effective stochastic differential equations from microscopic simulations: linking stochastic numerics to deep learning
• Using hybrid automata to model mitigation of global disease spread via travel restriction
• Competing control scenarios in probabilistic SIR epidemics on social-contact networks
• Bridging the Covid-19 data and the epidemiological model using the time-varying parameter SIRD model
• The effect of host population heterogeneity on epidemic outbreaks
• Persistence or disappearance dynamics of a vector-borne disease model with climate change and distributed delay
• Stability and codimension 2 bifurcations in an \(SIR\) model with incubation delay
• Dynamics of compositions of some Lotka-Volterra mappings operating in a two-dimensional simplex
• Stochastic SIRS epidemic model with perturbation on immunity decay rate
• Threshold dynamics of a stochastic infectious disease model with vaccination age under saturated media coverage
• Vaccination strategies for a seasonal epidemic: a simple SIR model
• Computer virus propagation modelled as a stochastic differential game
• Stability analysis of a new differential-difference model applied to the pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) effect on the spread of HIV
• Hybrid stochastic SIS epidemic models with vaccination: stability of the disease-free state and applications
• Exact solutions to SIR epidemic models via integrable discretization
• Passive and active field theories for disease spreading
• The coupled dynamics of information-behavior-epidemic propagation considering the heterogeneity of adoption thresholds and network structures in multiplex networks
• Critical behavior of the stochastic SIR model on random bond-diluted lattices
• Dynamic analysis of a SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and ratio dependent pulse control
• Dynamical behavior of a hepatitis B epidemic model and its NSFD scheme
• Stability switches via endemic bubbles in a COVID-19 model examining the effect of mask usage and saturated treatment with reinfection
• Asymptotic-preserving neural networks for hyperbolic systems with diffusive scaling
• Estimation of time-dependent transmission rate for COVID-19 SVIRD model using predictor-corrector algorithm
• Equivalence of mass action and Poisson network SIR epidemic models
• Efficient mask allocation during a pandemic
• Analysis of an SIS reaction-diffusion-chemotaxis epidemic model with gradient-dependent flux limitation and standard incidence
• On mathematical models of COVID-19 pandemic

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