Multi-Resolution Functional ANOVA for Large-Scale, Many-Input Computer Experiments

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Publication:147162

DOI10.1080/01621459.2019.1595630zbMATH Open1445.62189arXiv1709.07064OpenAlexW2962864460WikidataQ128184903 ScholiaQ128184903MaRDI QIDQ147162FDOQ147162

Matthew Plumlee, Wenjia Wang, Chih-Li Sung, Chih-Li Sung, Benjamin Haaland, Benjamin Haaland, Matthew Plumlee, Wenjia Wang

Publication date: 20 September 2017

Published in: Journal of the American Statistical Association (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The Gaussian process is a standard tool for building emulators for both deterministic and stochastic computer experiments. However, application of Gaussian process models is greatly limited in practice, particularly for large-scale and many-input computer experiments that have become typical. We propose a multi-resolution functional ANOVA model as a computationally feasible emulation alternative. More generally, this model can be used for large-scale and many-input non-linear regression problems. An overlapping group lasso approach is used for estimation, ensuring computational feasibility in a large-scale and many-input setting. New results on consistency and inference for the (potentially overlapping) group lasso in a high-dimensional setting are developed and applied to the proposed multi-resolution functional ANOVA model. Importantly, these results allow us to quantify the uncertainty in our predictions. Numerical examples demonstrate that the proposed model enjoys marked computational advantages. Data capabilities, both in terms of sample size and dimension, meet or exceed best available emulation tools while meeting or exceeding emulation accuracy.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1709.07064





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