The horseshoe+ estimator of ultra-sparse signals

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Publication:1699709

DOI10.1214/16-BA1028zbMATH Open1384.62079arXiv1502.00560OpenAlexW2962978766WikidataQ104437576 ScholiaQ104437576MaRDI QIDQ1699709FDOQ1699709


Authors: Anindya Bhadra, Jyotishka Datta, Nicholas G. Polson, Brandon T. Willard Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 23 February 2018

Published in: Bayesian Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We propose a new prior for ultra-sparse signal detection that we term the "horseshoe+ prior." The horseshoe+ prior is a natural extension of the horseshoe prior that has achieved success in the estimation and detection of sparse signals and has been shown to possess a number of desirable theoretical properties while enjoying computational feasibility in high dimensions. The horseshoe+ prior builds upon these advantages. Our work proves that the horseshoe+ posterior concentrates at a rate faster than that of the horseshoe in the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) sense. We also establish theoretically that the proposed estimator has lower posterior mean squared error in estimating signals compared to the horseshoe and achieves the optimal Bayes risk in testing up to a constant. For global-local scale mixture priors, we develop a new technique for analyzing the marginal sparse prior densities using the class of Meijer-G functions. In simulations, the horseshoe+ estimator demonstrates superior performance in a standard design setting against competing methods, including the horseshoe and Dirichlet-Laplace estimators. We conclude with an illustration on a prostate cancer data set and by pointing out some directions for future research.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.00560




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