Oscillations in epidemic models with spread of awareness

DOI10.1007/S00285-017-1166-XzbMATH Open1392.92101arXiv1606.08788OpenAlexW3097989471WikidataQ38650047 ScholiaQ38650047MaRDI QIDQ1709406FDOQ1709406

Authors: Winfried Just, Joan Saldaña, Ying Xin 

Publication date: 5 April 2018

Published in: Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study ODE models of epidemic spreading with a preventive behavioral response that is triggered by awareness of the infection. Previous studies of such models have mostly focused on the impact of the response on the initial growth of an outbreak and the existence and location of endemic equilibria. Here we study the question whether this type of response is sufficient to prevent future flare-ups from low endemic levels if awareness is assumed to decay over time. In the ODE context, such flare-ups would translate into sustained oscillations with significant amplitudes. Our results show that such oscillations are ruled out in Susceptible-Aware-Infectious-Susceptible models with a single compartment of aware hosts, but can occur if we consider two distinct compartments of aware hosts who differ in their willingness to alert other susceptible hosts.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.08788

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zbMATH Keywords

epidemic modelsperiodic oscillationsawareness dissemination

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Periodic solutions to ordinary differential equations (34C25)

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Cited In (9)

• The effect of host population heterogeneity on epidemic outbreaks
• Oscillatory dynamics in the dilemma of social distancing
• Saddle-node bifurcation of limit cycles in an epidemic model with two levels of awareness
• THE COMPUTATION OF REPRODUCTION NUMBERS FOR THE ENVIRONMENT-HOST-ENVIRONMENT CHOLERA TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS
• A nonlinear SAIR epidemic model: effect of awareness class, nonlinear incidences, saturated treatment and time delay
• Turning points and relaxation oscillation cycles in simple epidemic models
• Competition between awareness and epidemic spreading in homogeneous networks with demography
• A model of insect control with imperfect treatment
• A discrete epidemic model and a zigzag strategy for curbing the Covid-19 outbreak and for lifting the lockdown

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