Development of the prediction graph method under incomplete and inaccurate expert estimates

DOI10.1007/S10559-018-0008-1zbMATH Open1384.93071OpenAlexW2790030250MaRDI QIDQ1745697FDOQ1745697

Authors: Yu. Ya. Samokhvalov 

Publication date: 18 April 2018

Published in: Cybernetics and Systems Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10559-018-0008-1

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zbMATH Keywords

predictionbeta distributionMonte Carlo methodexpertiseexperts' estimatesfuzzy estimatesgoal attainment timeprediction graph

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Monte Carlo methods (65C05) General systems (93A10) Control/observation systems with incomplete information (93C41) Stochastic systems in control theory (general) (93E03) Estimation and detection in stochastic control theory (93E10) Fuzzy control/observation systems (93C42)

Cites Work

• Group accounting of relative alternative superiority in decision-making problems
• Generalized stochastic network models for the management of complex projects

Cited In (3)

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• An information platform for scenario analysis in technology foresight problems
• Integrated model for constructing a multialternative prediction graph based on expert judgments

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