Electoral surveys' influence on the voting processes: A cellular automata model

DOI10.1016/S0378-4371(02)01208-6zbMATH Open1001.91018arXivcond-mat/0204139MaRDI QIDQ1847481FDOQ1847481

Authors: S. G. Alves, N. M. Oliveira Neto, M. L. Martins 

Publication date: 26 November 2002

Published in: Physica A (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Nowadays, in societies threatened by atomization, selfishness, short-term thinking, and alienation from political life, there is a renewed debate about classical questions concerning the quality of democratic decision-making. In this work a cellular automata (CA) model for the dynamics of free elections based on the social impact theory is proposed. By using computer simulations, power law distributions for the size of electoral clusters and decision time have been obtained. The major role of broadcasted electoral surveys in guiding opinion formation and stabilizing the ``{it status quo} was demonstrated. Furthermore, it was shown that in societies where these surveys are manipulated within the universally accepted statistical error bars, even a majoritary opposition could be hindered from reaching the power through the electoral path.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0204139

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• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1981227

zbMATH Keywords

electoral cluster sizeelectoral decision timesocial impact theory

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Voting theory (91B12)

Cites Work

• Real space renormalization group and totalitarian paradox of majority rule voting
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Phase transitions in social impact models of opinion formation

Cited In (5)

• A CELLULAR AUTOMATON MODELING THE STRUGGLE TO CONTROL THE MEDIA
• Modeling surveys effects in political competitions
• THE EFFECT OF AN ELECTORAL CAMPAIGN FOR ELECTION RESULTS IN AN OPEN COMMUNITY
• EVOLUTION OF STUDENTS' STUDYING ATTITUDES ON THE CELLULAR AUTOMATA MODEL
• Opinion formation in voting processes under bounded confidence

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