Clustering in block Markov chains

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Publication:1996780

DOI10.1214/19-AOS1939zbMATH Open1461.62108arXiv1712.09232OpenAlexW3006667237MaRDI QIDQ1996780FDOQ1996780


Authors: Jaron Sanders, Se-Young Yun, Alexandre Proutiere Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 26 February 2021

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper considers cluster detection in Block Markov Chains (BMCs). These Markov chains are characterized by a block structure in their transition matrix. More precisely, the n possible states are divided into a finite number of K groups or clusters, such that states in the same cluster exhibit the same transition rates to other states. One observes a trajectory of the Markov chain, and the objective is to recover, from this observation only, the (initially unknown) clusters. In this paper we devise a clustering procedure that accurately, efficiently, and provably detects the clusters. We first derive a fundamental information-theoretical lower bound on the detection error rate satisfied under any clustering algorithm. This bound identifies the parameters of the BMC, and trajectory lengths, for which it is possible to accurately detect the clusters. We next develop two clustering algorithms that can together accurately recover the cluster structure from the shortest possible trajectories, whenever the parameters allow detection. These algorithms thus reach the fundamental detectability limit, and are optimal in that sense.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.09232




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