Random fluctuations around a stable limit cycle in a stochastic system with parametric forcing

DOI10.1007/S00285-019-01423-7MaRDI QIDQ2007692zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors May Anne Mata, R. C. Tyson, Priscilla Greenwood

Publication date 22 November 2019

Published in Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-019-01423-7

zbMATH Keywords

disease recurrenceepidemiologyFloquet theorylimit cycle with noiseOrnstein-Uhlenbeck processperiodic forcingseasonal forcingstochastic fluctuationssustained oscillations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Ordinary differential equations and systems with randomness (34F05) Resonance phenomena for ordinary differential equations involving randomness (34F15) Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H10) Epidemiology (92D30)

Review text

Systems of stochastic differential equations (SDE) of the form \[ dX(t) = F(X(t); \theta(t)) dt + C(X(t); \theta(t)) dW(t), \quad \theta(t) = \theta(t + T ), \] where $\theta(t)$ is a seasonally-varying (periodic) parameter, can be used to model population fluctuations. This paper focuses on the case where the solution of the associated system \[ dX(t) = F(X(t); \theta(t)) dt \] has a stable limit cycle. Taking $\xi(t)$ to be the (scaled) stochastic fluctuation around the limit cycle, the SDE \[ d\xi(t) = A(t)\xi(t) dt + C(t) dW(t) \] is derived. Then an approximation of the solution $\xi(t)$ is obtained. When examined for a stochastic epidemic model with seasonal forcing, the power spectral densities of $\xi(t)$ and the approximation yield close agreement, particularly with regard to the frequency peaks.

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Cited in

(6)

• Narrowband random excitation of a limit cycle system
• Chaotifying a continuous-time system near a stable limit cycle.
• HJB and Fokker-Planck equations for river environmental management based on stochastic impulse control with discrete and random observation
• Stochastic limit-cycle oscillations of a nonlinear system under random perturbations
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• On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations

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