Uncertainty measurement with belief entropy on the interference effect in the quantum-like Bayesian networks
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Publication:2008523
Bayesian networksbelief entropydecision makingquantum probabilitysocial dilemmassure thing principle
Statistical aspects of information-theoretic topics (62B10) Quantum measurement theory, state operations, state preparations (81P15) Quantum information, communication, networks (quantum-theoretic aspects) (81P45) Decision theory (91B06) Applications of statistical and quantum mechanics to economics (econophysics) (91B80)
Abstract: Social dilemmas have been regarded as the essence of evolution game theory, in which the prisoner's dilemma game is the most famous metaphor for the problem of cooperation. Recent findings revealed people's behavior violated the Sure Thing Principle in such games. Classic probability methodologies have difficulty explaining the underlying mechanisms of people's behavior. In this paper, a novel quantum-like Bayesian Network was proposed to accommodate the paradoxical phenomenon. The special network can take interference into consideration, which is likely to be an efficient way to describe the underlying mechanism. With the assistance of belief entropy, named as Deng entropy, the paper proposes Belief Distance to render the model practical. Tested with empirical data, the proposed model is proved to be predictable and effective.
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Cited in
(11)- Are quantum-like Bayesian networks more powerful than classical Bayesian networks?
- A consensus reaching process with quantum subjective adjustment in linguistic group decision making
- Interval-valued belief entropies for Dempster-Shafer structures
- A new distance measure of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and its application in decision making
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- A new method to predict the interference effect in quantum-like Bayesian networks
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