Editorial: EVA 2019 data competition on spatio-temporal prediction of Red Sea surface temperature extremes
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Publication:2028570
data competitionEVA 2019 conferenceextremal dependenceextreme eventpredictionRed Sea surface temperature dataspatio-temporal processthreshold-weighted continuous ranked probability score
Proceedings of conferences of miscellaneous specific interest (00B25) Proceedings, conferences, collections, etc. pertaining to statistics (62-06) Directional data; spatial statistics (62H11) Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)
Abstract: Large, non-stationary spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in modern statistical applications, and the modeling of spatio-temporal extremes is crucial for assessing risks in environmental sciences among others. While the modeling of extremes is challenging in itself, the prediction of rare events at unobserved spatial locations and time points is even more difficult. In this editorial, we describe the data competition that was organized for the 11th international conference on Extreme-Value Analysis (EVA 2019), for which several teams modeled and predicted Red Sea surface temperature extremes over space and time. After introducing the dataset and the goal of the competition, we disclose the final ranking of the teams, and we finally discuss some interesting outcomes and future challenges.
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Cited in
(10)- Editorial: Special issue on the extreme value analysis conference challenge ``prediction of extremal precipitation
- Bayesian space-time gap filling for inference on extreme hot-spots: an application to Red Sea surface temperatures
- A spatio-temporal model for Red Sea surface temperature anomalies
- BlackBox: generalizable reconstruction of extremal values from incomplete spatio-temporal data
- Spatio-temporal prediction of missing temperature with stochastic Poisson equations. The LC2019 team winning entry for the EVA 2019 data competition
- Estimating high-resolution red sea surface temperature hotspots, using a low-rank semiparametric spatial model
- Likelihood-Free Parameter Estimation with Neural Bayes Estimators
- Recognizing a spatial extreme dependence structure: a deep learning approach
- Vecchia Likelihood Approximation for Accurate and Fast Inference with Intractable Spatial Max-Stable Models
- A utopic adventure in the modelling of conditional univariate and multivariate extremes. EVA (2023) Conference Data Challenge: team Yahabe
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