Current trends and future prediction of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic in China: a dynamical modeling analysis

DOI10.3934/mbe.2020173zbMath1467.92230WikidataQ100312412 ScholiaQ100312412MaRDI QIDQ2038697

Kai Wang, Xing Feng, Dandan Lin, Huling Li, Yi Yin, Zhenzhen Lu, Yateng Song, Zhiwei Feng, Lei Wang, Xiaomeng Wang, Weidong Ji, Yongli Cai, Zhihang Peng, Hui Li, Xiao-Yan Wang

Publication date: 7 July 2021

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2020173

zbMATH Keywords

Markov chain Monte Carlo; basic reproduction number; dynamical model; novel coronavirus; peak time

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

92D30: Epidemiology

34C60: Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models

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Cites Work

• On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio \(R_ 0\) in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
• Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission