Estimation of smooth functionals in normal models: bias reduction and asymptotic efficiency

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Publication:2054520

DOI10.1214/20-AOS2047zbMATH Open1486.62163arXiv1912.08877OpenAlexW3213029249MaRDI QIDQ2054520FDOQ2054520


Authors: M. Zhilova, Vladimir Koltchinskii Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 3 December 2021

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Let X1,dots,Xn be i.i.d. random variables sampled from a normal distribution N(mu,Sigma) in mathbbRd with unknown parameter heta=(mu,Sigma)inTheta:=mathbbRdimesmathcalC+d, where mathcalC+d is the cone of positively definite covariance operators in mathbbRd. Given a smooth functional f:ThetamapstomathbbR1, the goal is to estimate f(heta) based on X1,dots,Xn. Let Theta(a;d):={mathbb R}^d imes Bigl{Sigmain {mathcal C}_+^d: sigma(Sigma)subset [1/a, a]Bigr}, ageq 1, where sigma(Sigma) is the spectrum of covariance Sigma. Let hatheta:=(hatmu,hatSigma), where hatmu is the sample mean and hatSigma is the sample covariance, based on the observations X1,dots,Xn. For an arbitrary functional finCs(Theta), s=k+1+ho,kgeq0,hoin(0,1], we define a functional fk:ThetamapstomathbbR such that �egin{align*} & sup_{ hetain Theta(a;d)}|f_k(hat heta)-f( heta)|_{L_2({mathbb P}_{ heta})} lesssim_{s, �eta} |f|_{C^{s}(Theta)} �iggr[�iggl(frac{a}{sqrt{n}} �igvee a^{�eta s}�iggl(sqrt{frac{d}{n}}�iggr)^{s} �iggr)wedge 1�iggr], end{align*} where for k=0 and is arbitrary for kgeq1. This error rate is minimax optimal and similar bounds hold for more general loss functions. If d=dnleqnalpha for some alphain(0,1) and sgeqfrac11alpha, the rate becomes O(n1/2). Moreover, for s>frac11alpha, the estimators fk(hatheta) is shown to be asymptotically efficient. The crucial part of the construction of estimator fk(hatheta) is a bias reduction method studied in the paper for more general statistical models than normal.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.08877




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