Low-dimensional offshore wave input for extreme event quantification
From MaRDI portal
Publication:2060969
Abstract: In offshore engineering design, nonlinear wave models are often used to propagate stochastic waves from an input boundary to the location of an offshore structure. Each wave realization is typically characterized by a high-dimensional input time series, and a reliable determination of the extreme events is associated with substantial computational effort. As the sea depth decreases, extreme events become more difficult to evaluate. We here construct a low-dimensional characterization of the candidate input time series to circumvent the search for extreme wave events in a high-dimensional input probability space. Each wave input is represented by a unique low-dimensional set of parameters for which standard surrogate approximations, such as Gaussian processes, can estimate the short-term exceedance probability efficiently and accurately. We demonstrate the advantages of the new approach with a simple shallow-water wave model based on the Korteweg-de Vries equation for which we can provide an accurate reference solution based on the simple Monte Carlo method. We furthermore apply the method to a fully nonlinear wave model for wave propagation over a sloping seabed. The results demonstrate that the Gaussian process can learn accurately the tail of the heavy-tailed distribution of the maximum wave crest elevation based on only of the required Monte Carlo evaluations.
Recommendations
- Active-subspace analysis of exceedance probability for shallow-water waves
- Sequential sampling strategy for extreme event statistics in nonlinear dynamical systems
- Linear and nonlinear statistics of extreme waves
- Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea
- Statistics of extreme events in fluid flows and waves
Cites work
- Active subspaces. Emerging ideas for dimension reduction in parameter studies
- Active-subspace analysis of exceedance probability for shallow-water waves
- An efficient flexible-order model for 3D nonlinear water waves
- Efficient uncertainty quantification of a fully nonlinear and dispersive water wave model with random inputs
- Evaluation of failure probability via surrogate models
- Gaussian processes for machine learning.
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3876298 (Why is no real title available?)
- Karhunen-Loève representation of stochastic ocean waves
- Multilevel estimation of rare events
- PLS-based adaptation for efficient PCE representation in high dimensions
- Pressure impulse theory for a slamming wave on a vertical circular cylinder
- Principal component analysis.
- Reduced-order precursors of rare events in unidirectional nonlinear water waves
- Rogue waves and large deviations in deep sea
- Sequential sampling strategy for extreme event statistics in nonlinear dynamical systems
- Some Properties of a Normal Process Near a Local Maximum
- Stochastic Dynamics of Marine Structures
- The Fokker-Planck equation. Methods of solution and applications.
Cited in
(6)- Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea
- Active-subspace analysis of exceedance probability for shallow-water waves
- Sequential sampling strategy for extreme event statistics in nonlinear dynamical systems
- Efficient uncertainty quantification of a fully nonlinear and dispersive water wave model with random inputs
- Statistics of extreme events in fluid flows and waves
- Distributions of return values for ocean wave characteristics in the South China Sea using directional–seasonal extreme value analysis
This page was built for publication: Low-dimensional offshore wave input for extreme event quantification
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2060969)
