SEAIR epidemic spreading model of COVID-19

DOI10.1016/J.CHAOS.2020.110394MaRDI QIDQ2128237zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Lasko Basnarkov

Publication date 21 April 2022

Published in Chaos, Solitons and Fractals (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.11815, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7598527

zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19complex networkseigenvector centralityepidemic spreadingJacobian matrix eigenvectorsSEAIR epidemic model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60)

Abstract: We study Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered (SEAIR) epidemic spreading model of COVID-19. It captures two important characteristics of the infectiousness of COVID-19: delayed start and its appearance before onset of symptoms, or even with total absence of them. The model is theoretically analyzed in continuous-time compartmental version and discrete-time version on random regular graphs and complex networks. We show analytically that there are relationships between the epidemic thresholds and the equations for the susceptible populations at the endemic equilibrium in all three versions, which hold when the epidemic is weak. We provide theoretical arguments that eigenvector centrality of a node approximately determines its risk to become infected.

Recommendations

• Epidemic spreading on complex networks with community structure
• Uncertain SEIAR model for COVID-19 cases in China
• Analytical solution of SEIR model describing the free spread of the COVID-19 pandemic
• Epidemic spreading of an SEIRS model in scale-free networks
• The Role of Asymptomatic Infections in the COVID-19 Epidemic via Complex Networks and Stability Analysis

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3168330 (Why is no real title available?)
• Collective dynamics of `small-world' networks
• Complex networks: structure and dynamics
• Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks
• Fundamentals of spreading processes in single and multilayer complex networks
• Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics with a case study of Wuhan
• Mathematical models in epidemiology
• The mathematics of infectious diseases

Cited in

(16)

• Influence of human behavior on COVID-19 dynamics based on a reaction-diffusion model
• Endemic state equivalence between non-Markovian SEIS and Markovian SIS model in complex networks
• Simulating the spread of COVID-19 \textit{via} a spatially-resolved susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-deceased (SEIRD) model with heterogeneous diffusion
• A new method for solving fuzzy Bernoulli differential equation
• Predicting the outbreak of epidemics using a network-based approach
• Uncertain SEIAR model for COVID-19 cases in China
• Stability analysis and numerical simulations of the infection spread of epidemics as a reaction-diffusion model
• Threshold dynamics of a stochastic infectious disease model with vaccination age under saturated media coverage
• Bistability in deterministic and stochastic SLIAR-type models with imperfect and waning vaccine protection
• Epidemic spreading in wireless sensor networks with node sleep scheduling
• Economic epidemiological modelling: a progress report
• Application of fuzzy ABC fractional differential equations in infectious diseases
• Using the SEIR model to constrain the role of contaminated fomites in spreading an epidemic: an application to COVID-19 in the UK
• Generalized SEIR epidemic model for COVID-19 in a multipatch environment
• A diffusive SEIR model for community transmission of Covid-19 epidemics: application to Brazil
• An explicit unconditionally stable scheme: application to diffusive COVID-19 epidemic model

This page was built for publication: SEAIR epidemic spreading model of COVID-19

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2128237)