Branching process modelling of COVID-19 pandemic including immunity and vaccination

DOI10.1515/EQC-2021-0040MaRDI QIDQ2138604zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Dimitar Atanasov, Vessela Stoimenova, Nikolay M. Yanev

Publication date 12 May 2022

Published in Stochastics and Quality Control (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1515/eqc-2021-0040

zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19estimationvaccinationbranching processesimmunity

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of branching processes (60J85)

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Cites work

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• Branching processes as models of progenitor cell populations and estimation of the offspring distributions
• Branching processes in biology
• On COVID-19 outbreaks predictions: issues on stability, parameter sensitivity, and precision
• Stochastic modelling and estimation of COVID-19 population dynamics

Cited in

(9)

• 80th jubilee of Professor Nikolay Yanev
• 5th international workshop on branching processes and their applications (IWBPA 2021)
• Stochastic modelling and estimation of COVID-19 population dynamics
• Statistical modelling of COVID-19 pandemic development applying branching processes
• A chain binomial epidemic with asymptomatics motivated by COVID-19 modelling
• Branching stochastic processes with immigration as models of Covid-19 pandemic development
• Immuno-epidemiological model-based prediction of further Covid-19 epidemic outbreaks due to immunity waning
• Estimation of the duration of Covid-19 epidemic in a single country, with or without vaccinations. The case of Bulgaria and Germany
• Some investigations with a simple actuarial model for infections such as COVID-19

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• GitHub
• matlab-bp-engine

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