Influence of technological progress and renewability on the sustainability of ecosystem engineers populations

DOI10.3934/MBE.2019173zbMATH Open1497.92205arXiv1812.11117OpenAlexW2907635826WikidataQ93200229 ScholiaQ93200229MaRDI QIDQ2160709FDOQ2160709

Authors: Guilherme M. Lopes, José F. Fontanari 

Publication date: 3 August 2022

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Overpopulation and environmental degradation due to inadequate resource-use are outcomes of human's ecosystem engineering that has profoundly modified the world's landscape. Despite the age-old concern that unchecked population and economic growth may be unsustainable, the prospect of societal collapse remains contentious today. Contrasting with the usual approach to modeling human-nature interactions, which are based on the Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with humans as the predators and nature as the prey, here we address this issue using a discrete-time population dynamics model of ecosystem engineers. The growth of the population of engineers is modeled by the Beverton-Holt equation with a density-dependent carrying capacity that is proportional to the number of usable habitats. These habitats (e.g., farms) are the products of the work of the individuals on the virgin habitats (e.g., native forests), hence the denomination engineers of ecosystems to those agents. The human-made habitats decay into degraded habitats, which eventually regenerate into virgin habitats. For slow regeneration resources, we find that the dynamics is dominated by cycles of prosperity and collapse, in which the population reaches vanishing small densities. However, increase of the efficiency of the engineers to explore the resources eliminates the dangerous cyclical patterns of feast and famine and leads to a stable equilibrium that balances population growth and resource availability. This finding supports the viewpoint of growth optimists that technological progress may avoid collapse.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1812.11117

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zbMATH Keywords

discrete dynamical systemsBeverton-Holt modelecosystem engineerspopulation collapsehuman-nature dynamics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Ecology (92D40)

Cites Work

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• The collapse of ecosystem engineer populations
• The spatial dynamics of ecosystem engineers

Uses Software

• DYNAMO

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