Quantifying uncertainty with ensembles of surrogates for blackbox optimization

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Publication:2162525

DOI10.1007/S10589-022-00381-ZzbMATH Open1496.90091arXiv2107.04360OpenAlexW3180164923MaRDI QIDQ2162525FDOQ2162525


Authors: Charles Audet, Sébastien Le Digabel, Renaud Saltet Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 8 August 2022

Published in: Computational Optimization and Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This work is in the context of blackbox optimization where the functions defining the problem are expensive to evaluate and where no derivatives are available. A tried and tested technique is to build surrogates of the objective and the constraints in order to conduct the optimization at a cheaper computational cost. This work proposes different uncertainty measures when using ensembles of surrogates. The resulting combination of an ensemble of surrogates with our measures behaves as a stochastic model and allows the use of efficient Bayesian optimization tools. The method is incorporated in the search step of the mesh adaptive direct search (MADS) algorithm to improve the exploration of the search space. Computational experiments are conducted on seven analytical problems, two multi-disciplinary optimization problems and two simulation problems. The results show that the proposed approach solves expensive simulation-based problems at a greater precision and with a lower computational effort than stochastic models.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.04360




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