Cluster approximations for epidemic processes: a systematic description of correlations beyond the pair level

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Publication:2189249

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2004.02.017zbMATH Open1440.92065arXivq-bio/0401028OpenAlexW2143127545WikidataQ80161611 ScholiaQ80161611MaRDI QIDQ2189249FDOQ2189249

P. De Los Rios, Thomas Petermann

Publication date: 15 June 2020

Published in: Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Especially in lattice structured populations, homogeneous mixing represents an inadequate assumption. Various improvements upon the ordinary pair approximation based on a number of assumptions concerning the higher-order correlations have been proposed. To find approaches that allow for a derivation of their dynamics remains a great challenge. By representing the population with its connectivity patterns as a homogeneous network, we propose a systematic methodology for the description of the epidemic dynamics that takes into account spatial correlations up to a desired range. The equations which the dynamical correlations are subject to, are derived in a straightforward way, and they are solved very efficiently due to their binary character. The method embeds very naturally spatial patterns such as the presence of loops characterizing the square lattice or the treelike structure ubiquitous in random networks, providing an improved description of the steady state as well as the invasion dynamics.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/q-bio/0401028




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