Correcting an estimator of a multivariate monotone function with isotonic regression
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Publication:2199702
DOI10.1214/20-EJS1740zbMATH Open1448.62056arXiv1810.09022OpenAlexW3049245496MaRDI QIDQ2199702FDOQ2199702
Ted Westling, Mark J. Van der Laan, Marco Carone
Publication date: 14 September 2020
Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: In many problems, a sensible estimator of a possibly multivariate monotone function may itself fail to be monotone. We study the correction of such an estimator obtained via projection onto the space of functions monotone over a finite grid in the domain. We demonstrate that this corrected estimator has no worse supremal estimation error than the initial estimator, and that analogously corrected confidence bands contain the true function whenever the initial bands do, at no loss to average or maximal band width. Additionally, we demonstrate that the corrected estimator is uniformly asymptotically equivalent to the initial estimator provided that the initial estimator satisfies a stochastic equicontinuity condition and that the true function is Lipschitz and strictly monotone. We provide simple sufficient conditions for our stochastic equicontinuity condition in the important special case that the initial estimator is uniformly asymptotically linear, and illustrate the use of these results for estimation of a G-computed distribution function. Our stochastic equicontinuity condition is weaker than standard uniform stochastic equicontinuity, which has been required for alternative correction procedures. Crucially, this allows us to apply our results to the bivariate correction of the local linear estimator of a conditional distribution function known to be monotone in its conditioning argument. Our experiments suggest that the projection step can yield significant practical improvements in performance for both the estimator and confidence band.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.09022
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confidence bandkernel smoothingprojectionasymptotic linearityshape constraintstochastic equicontinuity
Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference (62G20) Gaussian processes (60G15) Nonparametric tolerance and confidence regions (62G15) Estimation in multivariate analysis (62H12)
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Cited In (9)
- Inference for Treatment-Specific Survival Curves Using Machine Learning
- A comparison of different methods to adjust survival curves for confounders
- Targeted maximum likelihood estimation for causal inference in survival and competing risks analysis
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