2019-nCoV transmission in Hubei province, China: stochastic and deterministic analyses
Summary: Currently, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causes an outbreak of viral pneumonia in Hubei province, China. In this paper, stochastic and deterministic models are proposed to investigate the transmission mechanism of 2019-nCoV from 15 January to 5 February 2020 in Hubei province. For the deterministic model, basic reproduction number \(R_0\) is defined and endemic equilibrium is given. Under \(R_0>1\), quasi-stationary distribution of the stochastic process is approximated by Gaussian diffusion. Residual, sensitivity, dynamical, and diffusion analyses of the models are conducted. Further, control variables are introduced to the deterministic model and optimal strategies are provided. Based on empirical results, we suggest that the first and most important thing is to control input, screening, treatment, and isolation.
- Mechanistic modeling of the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak in the early phase in Wuhan
- Deterministic and stochastic models for the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
- Transmission dynamics and control methodology of COVID-19: a modeling study
- A mathematical model for the novel coronavirus epidemic in Wuhan, China
- Transmission dynamics and control strategies of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
- A class of stochastic epidemic models and its deterministic counterpart
- Effects of media reporting on mitigating spread of COVID-19 in the early phase of the outbreak
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3729228 (Why is no real title available?)
- On a functional central limit theorem for Markov population processes
- On parameter estimation in population models
- On the quasi-stationary distribution of the stochastic logistic epidemic
- Persistence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium in a stochastic epidemic model with imperfect vaccine
- Quasi-stationary distributions for reducible absorbing Markov chains in discrete time
- Stochastic models of some endemic infections
- The mathematics of infectious diseases
- Deterministic and stochastic models for the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
- New investigation of bats-hosts-reservoir-people coronavirus model and application to 2019-nCoV system
- Estimating the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 VOC 202012/01 in Japan using travel history information
- Set-valued control approach applied to a COVID-19 model with screening and saturated treatment function
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7338419 (Why is no real title available?)
- Mechanistic modeling of the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak in the early phase in Wuhan
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7339203 (Why is no real title available?)
- Did China avoid the ‘Asian flu’? The contagion effect test with dynamic correlation coefficients
- Randomness accelerates the dynamic clearing process of the COVID-19 outbreaks in China
This page was built for publication: 2019-nCoV transmission in Hubei province, China: stochastic and deterministic analyses
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2205337)
