Estimation and inference of time-varying auto-covariance under complex trend: a difference-based approach

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Publication:2233573

DOI10.1214/21-EJS1893zbMATH Open1476.62077arXiv2003.05006MaRDI QIDQ2233573FDOQ2233573


Authors: Yanyan Li Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 11 October 2021

Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and smooth changes. Simultaneous confidence bands (SCB) with asymptotically correct coverage probabilities are constructed for the auto-covariance functions under complex trend. A simulation-assisted bootstrapping method is proposed for the practical construction of the SCB. Detailed simulation and a real data example round out our presentation.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.05006




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