Global stability for novel complicated SIR epidemic models with the nonlinear recovery rate and transfer from being infectious to being susceptible to analyze the transmission of COVID-19
Topological structure of integral curves, singular points, limit cycles of ordinary differential equations (34C05) Bifurcation theory for ordinary differential equations (34C23) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20) Global stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D23) Medical epidemiology (92C60) Epidemiology (92D30)
Summary: Epidemiological models play pivotal roles in predicting, anticipating, understanding, and controlling present and future epidemics. The dynamics of infectious diseases is complex, and therefore, researchers need to consider more complicated mathematical models. In this paper, we first describe the dynamics of a complex SIR epidemic model with nonstandard nonlinear incidence and recovery rates. In this model, we consider the rate at which individuals lose immunity. Rigorous mathematical results have been established from the point of view of stability and bifurcation. The basic reproduction number (\(R_0\)) is determined. We then apply LaSalle's invariance principle and Lyapunov's direct method to prove that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when \(R_0<1\). The model has a unique endemic equilibrium when \(R_0>1\). A nonlinear Lyapunov function is used together with LaSalle's invariance principle to show that the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable under some conditions. Further, for the case when \(R_0=1\), we analyze the model and show a backward bifurcation under certain conditions. In the second part of this paper, we analyze a modified SIR model with a vaccination term, which must be a function of time. We show that the modified model agrees well with COVID-19 data in Saudi Arabia. We then investigate different future scenarios. Simulation results suggest that a two-pronged strategy is crucial to control the COVID-19 pandemic in Saudi Arabia.
- Mathematical model of SIR epidemic system (COVID-19) with fractional derivative: stability and numerical analysis
- A new dynamical modeling SEIR with global analysis applied to the real data of spreading COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia
- The global stability and optimal control of the COVID-19 epidemic model
- Fractional order SIR epidemic model with Beddington-De Angelis incidence and Holling type II treatment rate for COVID-19
- Stability and Hopf bifurcation analysis of a delayed SIRC epidemic model for Covid-19
- A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate
- A study of the fractional‐order mathematical model of diabetes and its resulting complications
- Bifurcation Analysis of a Predator-Prey System with Nonmonotonic Functional Response
- Bifurcations and complex dynamics of an SIR model with the impact of the number of hospital beds
- Complicated endemics of an SIRS model with a generalized incidence under preventive vaccination and treatment controls
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1598672 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5303651 (Why is no real title available?)
- Influence of nonlinear incidence rates upon the behavior of SIRS epidemiological models
- Introduction to Applied Nonlinear Dynamical Systems and Chaos
- Mathematical modeling of the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) taking into account the undetected infections. The case of China
- Mathematical tools for understanding infectious disease dynamics.
- Modeling the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines on the spread of COVID-19
- Numerical solution of fractional model of HIV-1 infection in framework of different fractional derivatives
- Periodicity in an epidemic model with a generalized non-linear incidence
- Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
- Stability analysis of an SIR epidemic model with homestead-isolation on the susceptible and infectious, immunity, relapse and general incidence rate
- Dynamical analysis of a COVID-19 epidemic model with social confinement and acquired immunity loss
- Computational approaches on integrating vaccination and treatment strategies in the SIR model using Galerkin time discretization scheme
This page was built for publication: Global stability for novel complicated SIR epidemic models with the nonlinear recovery rate and transfer from being infectious to being susceptible to analyze the transmission of COVID-19
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2240751)
