Bayesball: A Bayesian hierarchical model for evaluating fielding in major league baseball

DOI10.1214/08-AOAS228MaRDI QIDQ2270656zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Shane T. Jensen, Kenneth E. Shirley, Abraham J. Wyner

Publication date 29 July 2009

Published in The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0802.4317

zbMATH Keywords

spatial modelsBayesian shrinkagebaseball fielding

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Applications of statistics (62P99)

Abstract: The use of statistical modeling in baseball has received substantial attention recently in both the media and academic community. We focus on a relatively under-explored topic: the use of statistical models for the analysis of fielding based on high-resolution data consisting of on-field location of batted balls. We combine spatial modeling with a hierarchical Bayesian structure in order to evaluate the performance of individual fielders while sharing information between fielders at each position. We present results across four seasons of MLB data (2002--2005) and compare our approach to other fielding evaluation procedures.

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Cites work

• A State-Space Model for National Football League Scores
• Bayesball: A Bayesian hierarchical model for evaluating fielding in major league baseball
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• Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (Comment on article by Browne and Draper)
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Cited in

(13)

• Application of VBGMM for pitch type classification: analysis of TrackMan's pitch tracking data
• A Markov Chain Approach to Baseball
• Moneybarl: exploiting pitcher decision-making using reinforcement learning
• Model-based estimation of baseball batting metrics
• Building a model for scoring 20 or more runs in a baseball game
• Lessons From Between the White Lines for Isolated Data Scientists
• Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of hitting performance in baseball
• Bayesball: A Bayesian hierarchical model for evaluating fielding in major league baseball
• Offensive performance, omitted variables, and the value of speed in baseball
• Outline analyses of the called strike zone in major league Baseball
• A Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the cost of postponing the cyclo-cross national championships
• Hierarchical Bayes modelling of penalty conversion rates of bundesliga players
• Modelling the Evolution of Distributions: An Application to Major League Baseball

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• BayesDA

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