Detecting structural changes in longitudinal network data
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Publication:2297236
Abstract: Dynamic modeling of longitudinal networks has been an increasingly important topic in applied research. While longitudinal network data commonly exhibit dramatic changes in its structures, existing methods have largely focused on modeling smooth topological changes over time. In this paper, we develop a hidden Markov multilinear tensor model (HMTM) that combines the multilinear tensor regression model (Hoff 2011) with a hidden Markov model using Bayesian inference. We model changes in network structure as shifts in discrete states yielding particular sets of network generating parameters. Our simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method correctly detects the number, locations, and types of changes in latent node characteristics. We apply the proposed method to international military alliance networks to find structural changes in the coalition structure among nations.
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Cited in
(6)- A mixed effects model for longitudinal relational and network data, with applications to international trade and conflict
- Joint modeling of longitudinal relational data and exogenous variables
- Multiple change points detection and clustering in dynamic networks
- Sequential network change detection with its applications to ad impact relation analysis
- A latent space model and Hotelling's T2 control chart to monitor the networks of Covid-19 symptoms
- Network trees: a method for recursively partitioning covariance structures
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