Semiparametric estimation of fractional cointegrating subspaces

DOI10.1214/009053606000000894MaRDI QIDQ2373586zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Willa W. Chen, Clifford Hurvich

Publication date 12 July 2007

Published in The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0708.0185

zbMATH Keywords

periodogram

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonparametric estimation (62G05) Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference (62G20) Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Estimation in multivariate analysis (62H12) Inference from stochastic processes and spectral analysis (62M15)

Abstract: We consider a common-components model for multivariate fractional cointegration, in which the $sgeq1$ components have different memory parameters. The cointegrating rank may exceed 1. We decompose the true cointegrating vectors into orthogonal fractional cointegrating subspaces such that vectors from distinct subspaces yield cointegrating errors with distinct memory parameters. We estimate each cointegrating subspace separately, using appropriate sets of eigenvectors of an averaged periodogram matrix of tapered, differenced observations, based on the first $m$ Fourier frequencies, with $m$ fixed. The angle between the true and estimated cointegrating subspaces is $o_p(1)$. We use the cointegrating residuals corresponding to an estimated cointegrating vector to obtain a consistent and asymptotically normal estimate of the memory parameter for the given cointegrating subspace, using a univariate Gaussian semiparametric estimator with a bandwidth that tends to $infty$ more slowly than $n$. We use these estimates to test for fractional cointegration and to consistently identify the cointegrating subspaces.

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Cited in

(28)

• Multiple local Whittle estimation in stationary systems
• Definitions and representations of multivariate long-range dependent time series
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• Semiparametric fractional cointegration analysis
• A bivariate fractionally cointegrated relationship in the context of cyclical structures
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• Likelihood based testing for no fractional cointegration
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• Cointegration Rank Estimation for High-Dimensional Time Series With Breaks
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• Fractional models for analysis of economic risks
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• A Wald test for the cointegration rank in nonstationary fractional systems
• Semiparametric inference in multivariate fractionally cointegrated systems
• Exact local Whittle estimation of fractionally cointegrated systems

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