Generalized probabilistic modus ponens

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Publication:2401897

DOI10.1007/978-3-319-61581-3_43zbMATH Open1491.68209arXiv1705.00385OpenAlexW2611198522MaRDI QIDQ2401897FDOQ2401897

Niki Pfeifer, Giuseppe Sanfilippo, Angelo Gilio

Publication date: 5 September 2017

Abstract: Modus ponens (emph{from A and "if A then C" infer C}, short: MP) is one of the most basic inference rules. The probabilistic MP allows for managing uncertainty by transmitting assigned uncertainties from the premises to the conclusion (i.e., from P(A) and P(C|A) infer P(C)). In this paper, we generalize the probabilistic MP by replacing A by the conditional event A|H. The resulting inference rule involves iterated conditionals (formalized by conditional random quantities) and propagates previsions from the premises to the conclusion. Interestingly, the propagation rules for the lower and the upper bounds on the conclusion of the generalized probabilistic MP coincide with the respective bounds on the conclusion for the (non-nested) probabilistic MP.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.00385






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