Partial information framework: model-based aggregation of estimates from diverse information sources

DOI10.1214/17-EJS1346zbMath1459.62011arXiv1505.06472OpenAlexW2963447175MaRDI QIDQ2412253

Robin Pemantle, Lyle H. Ungar, Shane T. Jensen, Ville A. Satopää

Publication date: 23 October 2017

Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.06472

zbMATH Keywords

unsupervised learningmodel averagingjudgmental forecastingnoise reductionexpert beliefforecast heterogeneity

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Statistical aspects of information-theoretic topics (62B10) Applications of statistics to psychology (62P15)

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Regularized Aggregation of One-Off Probability Predictions ⋮ Bayesian aggregation of two forecasts in the partial information framework

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