A method for processing the unreliable expert judgments about parameters of probability distributions

DOI10.1016/J.EJOR.2005.04.041MaRDI QIDQ2432859zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Lev V. Utkin

Publication date 25 October 2006

Published in European Journal of Operational Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2005.04.041

zbMATH Keywords

linear programminguncertainty modellingimprecise probabilitiesupper and lower probabilitiesexpert judgments

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Decision theory (91B06)

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• A possibilistic hierarchical model for behaviour under uncertainty
• Combining Expert Judgments: A Bayesian Approach
• Combining expert judgment by hierarchical modeling: An application to physician staffing
• Elementary fundamentals of a more general probability theory. I: Interval probability as comprehensive conception. In cooperation with T. Augustin and A. Wallner
• Imprecise Second-Order Hierarchical Uncertainty Model
• Precision-imprecision equivalence in a broad class of imprecise hierarchical uncertainty models
• Probability updating using second order probabilities and conditional event algebra
• Statistical decision theory and Bayesian analysis. 2nd ed
• The Prevision of a Prevision

Cited in

(6)

• Applying the imprecise Dirichlet model in cases with partial observations and dependencies in failure data
• Using experts' noisy quantile judgments to quantify risks: theory and application to agribusiness
• Inferring probability densities from expert opinion
• Multicriteria estimation of probabilities on basis of expert non-numeric, non-exact and non-complete knowledge
• Delphi method for estimating uncertainty distributions
• Probabilistic inversion of expert judgments in the quantification of model uncertainty

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