Estimating initial epidemic growth rates

DOI10.1007/s11538-013-9918-2zbMath1310.92056OpenAlexW1973275696WikidataQ42239444 ScholiaQ42239444MaRDI QIDQ2440898

Jonathan Dushoff, Junling Ma, David J. D. Earn, Benjamin M. Bolker

Publication date: 20 March 2014

Published in: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-013-9918-2

zbMATH Keywords

phenomenological modelsexponential growth rate

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

Related Items (12)

The doubling time analysis for modified infectious disease Richards model with applications to COVID-19 pandemic ⋮ Testing and isolation efficacy: insights from a simple epidemic model ⋮ Comparative analysis of phenomenological growth models applied to epidemic outbreaks ⋮ Analysis of the geographic transmission differences of COVID-19 in China caused by population movement and population density ⋮ The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics ⋮ Nonlinear time‐series forecasts for decision support: short‐term demand for ICU beds in Santiago, Chile, during the 2021 COVID‐19 pandemic ⋮ Estimating the within-household infection rate in emerging SIR epidemics among a community of households ⋮ Shrinkage in serial intervals across transmission generations of COVID-19 ⋮ Stochasticity and the limits to confidence when estimating \(\mathcal R_0\) of Ebola and other emerging infectious diseases ⋮ The dynamics of COVID-19 spread: evidence from Lebanon ⋮ Epidemics, the Ising-model and percolation theory: a comprehensive review focused on Covid-19 ⋮ A simple model for how the risk of pandemics from different virus families depends on viral and human traits

Uses Software

• emdbook

Cites Work

• Model-consistent estimation of the basic reproduction number from the incidence of an emerging infection
• SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism
• Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions
• The importance of contact network topology for the success of vaccination strategies
• A stochastic model for extinction and recurrence of epidemics: estimation and inference for measles outbreaks
• A method to estimate the incidence of communicable diseases under seasonal fluctuations with application to cholera
• Unnamed Item
• Unnamed Item
• Unnamed Item

This page was built for publication: Estimating initial epidemic growth rates