An optimal trading problem in intraday electricity markets

Quadratic programming (90C20) PDEs in connection with game theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences (35Q91) Environmental economics (natural resource models, harvesting, pollution, etc.) (91B76) Existence theories for optimal control problems involving partial differential equations (49J20) Applications of stochastic analysis (to PDEs, etc.) (60H30) Financial applications of other theories (91G80) Application models in control theory (93C95) Optimal stochastic control (93E20)

Abstract: We consider the problem of optimal trading for a power producer in the context of intraday electricity markets. The aim is to minimize the imbalance cost induced by the random residual demand in electricity, i.e. the consumption from the clients minus the production from renewable energy. For a simple linear price impact model and a quadratic criterion, we explicitly obtain approximate optimal strategies in the intraday market and thermal power generation, and exhibit some remarkable properties of the trading rate. Furthermore, we study the case when there are jumps on the demand forecast and on the intraday price, typically due to error in the prediction of wind power generation. Finally, we solve the problem when taking into account delay constraints in thermal power production.

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