Galaxy formation: Bayesian history matching for the observable Universe

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Publication:254381

DOI10.1214/12-STS412zbMATH Open1332.85007arXiv1405.4976MaRDI QIDQ254381FDOQ254381


Authors: Ian Vernon, Michael Goldstein, Richard Bower Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 8 March 2016

Published in: Statistical Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Cosmologists at the Institute of Computational Cosmology, Durham University, have developed a state of the art model of galaxy formation known as Galform, intended to contribute to our understanding of the formation, growth and subsequent evolution of galaxies in the presence of dark matter. Galform requires the specification of many input parameters and takes a significant time to complete one simulation, making comparison between the model's output and real observations of the Universe extremely challenging. This paper concerns the analysis of this problem using Bayesian emulation within an iterative history matching strategy, and represents the most detailed uncertainty analysis of a galaxy formation simulation yet performed.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.4976




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