Optimal control of predictive mean-field equations and applications to finance

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Publication:2801799




Abstract: We study a coupled system of controlled stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson random measure, consisting of a forward SDE in the unknown process X(t) and a emph{predictive mean-field} backward SDE (BSDE) in the unknowns Y(t),Z(t),K(t,cdot). The driver of the BSDE at time t may depend not just upon the unknown processes Y(t),Z(t),K(t,cdot), but also on the predicted future value Y(t+delta), defined by the conditional expectation A(t):=E[Y(t+delta)|mathcalFt]. \ We give a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for the optimal control of such systems, and then we apply these results to the following two problems:\ (i) Optimal portfolio in a financial market with an emph{insider influenced asset price process.} \ (ii) Optimal consumption rate from a cash flow modeled as a geometric It^ o-L' evy SDE, with respect to emph{predictive recursive utility}.









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